ANC fears negative effect of recession on 2019 election
The ANC said on Wednesday it was worried about going into the 2019 general elections while the South African economy faced a recession.
Head of the party’s economic transformation subcommittee Enoch Godongwana said globally‚ economic recession affected electoral support.
“There’s demonstrable evidence across the world‚ that says there is a correlation between economic growth and electoral support‚” he said.
Godongwana conceded that they would be concerned if the economy did not recover from a technical recession by the time the elections were called.
“That’s why we are calling for interventions that government must take‚” he said‚ adding that no party would be happy to go into elections while the economy faced recession.
“We have to pull through and make sure we don’t go into an election while in recession‚” Godongwana said. The ANC was reacting to news by Statistics South Africa (Stats SA) that the country’s real gross domestic product had decreased by 0.7% in the second quarter of the year.
Because GDP contracted by 2.2% in the first quarter‚ two consecutive quarters of negative growth meant the country was now in a technical recession.
Godongwana said the stimulus package announced by President Cyril Ramaphosa at the back of the party lekgotla should be activated immediately among a number of interventions.
The interventions include creating tax credits for companies which invest in sustainable job creation‚ reducing regulatory red tape and government up-scaling investment in economic and social infrastructure.
It further called for support packages in the agricultural sector in an effort to boost economic growth and food security.
Godongwana conceded that these interventions would not mean new policies.
“The African National Congress believes that opportunities exist for the revival and strengthening of the economy through the prioritisation and full support of governmental interventions‚” he said.
Godongwana conceded that the governing party’s biggest challenge was implementing its policies to effect change and boost the economy.
“We worry about implementation … it’s a major issue.”
He said the party was beginning to tighten implementation by holding its deployees in government accountable.
He further noted that the dismal state of the rand was largely as a result of global factors where emerging economies like Turkey and Argentina were caught in a global trade war‚ and South Africa was caught in the crosshairs.
The ANC did not go further than expressing concern about another fuel increase at a time when consumers could not afford it.