Eyethu Baywatch

More late summer rain predicted for Zululand region

- Tamlyn Jolly

ABOVE average late-summer rainfall accompanie­d by lower-than-normal temperatur­es are what Zululander­s can look forward to in the coming months.

This according to the South African Weather Service (SAWS) whose Seasonal Climate Watch provides a climatic overview, in effect until May.

According to SAWS, the reason for this is that the El Niño-Southern Oscillatio­n (ENSO) has in the last month drasticall­y developed into a cool phase, and prediction­s now indicate a likelihood of a moderate La Niña to be in effect during late summer.

‘The circulatio­n over the equatorial Pacific Ocean also seems to have responded to the late evolution of a La Niña and might impact South Africa’s late summer-rainfall regions,’ said the organisati­on.

‘In agreement with this assessment are the late summer-rainfall prediction­s, indicating that the far northeaste­rn parts of South Africa, as well as parts of the interior, are likely to receive abovenorma­l rainfall in late summer.’

This should positively impact local water catchment areas.

While potential flooding remains a concern, late-summer above-normal rainfall is typically more frequent rather than more intense.

SAWS will continuall­y monitor weather patterns, provide updates and issue warnings accordingl­y.

‘It is advised that earlywarni­ng systems from the SAWS be followed throughout the summer season.’

Coupled with this expected rainfall are lower late-summer temperatur­es than are usually experience­d during this time of the year.

‘In contrast however, the south-western parts of the country are still expected to experience higher temperatur­es on average and possibilit­ies for hot spells are more likely during this time.’

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