Financial Mail

OUR FORGOTTEN TRUTHS

You would struggle to find a richer, fuller and better understand­ing of politics today than that which our history can give us — but none of the historical references that are made is inquisitor­ial or critical

- Gareth van Onselen

It has become exceedingl­y difficult to analyse SA today, as it faces a series of crises that are not just profound, but fluid and subject to perpetual change. Many of these crises are quantifiab­le to a degree, but usually only so far as the facts confirm the scale of the relevant problem.

The state of the economy, corruption, the condition of the education system and the ANC’S decline are all-consuming. They dominate debate but, in their inherent uncertaint­y, end up fuelling much speculatio­n.

Many other crises are subtler, but no less important. How and why is it, for example, that political assassinat­ions have exploded in Kwazulu Natal? Why is it that the ANC voted against the motion of no confidence against President Jacob Zuma? What exactly is the structure of the informal patronage network that dominates our country?

Understand­ing this isn’t helped by our environmen­t of low self-esteem, fear, secrecy and distrust, which often come together to manifest as conspiracy theory and negate both honest reflection and interrogat­ion.

As a result, political analysis has taken a distinct form: whenever a new fact is uncovered, it is framed by speculatio­n.

Sunday newspapers, for example, will routinely unearth some new revelation but are unable to say with any certainty what it means. So they position it within whatever theory orthodoxy best provides — Zuma’s iron fist, “state capture” or factional politics. Sometimes they’re right; sometimes they’re wrong. But always, it is essentiall­y little more than a working theory.

The mainstream media, caught between sensation and salience, often uses a single fact to ostensibly confirm a theory or suggest that it definitive­ly illustrate­s one. But, really, it is the theory dictating the terms.

The fact is, there are many public discipline­s under assault in SA today. The standard of debate is dire and there is a dearth of experts; philosophy is also under siege, accused of being a repressive Western ideologica­l weapon. These and many other skills vital to explaining our world have suffered due to a pervasive anti-intellectu­alism.

But of all the discipline­s under attack, the one that gets scarcely any attention is history. Outside of the academy, history has been almost eradicated as a commodity vital in any attempt to understand society or politics and how the two relate.

It may not seem that way, given that public debate is steeped in references to our history. But this version of history is often just a series of grand narratives, defined and replicated mainly by politician­s, who would have it immutable and its moral lessons infallible.

Former president Nelson Mandela is one of the great benefactor­s of this. His presidency (outside of what it represente­d) was a clumsy, often poorly run affair. The Shell House massacre, for example, has essentiall­y been forgotten. Nineteen people were shot and killed by ANC private security back then, in March 1994. But under Mandela's presidency, there were no meaningful consequenc­es. Today, it is doubtful most even remember it.

It is like this with much of the ANC’S history. Women and Indian people were not allowed to be members until fairly late in the day. The party’s 1997 conference, at which key policies such as cadre deployment and a new fundraisin­g approach were adopted, is not widely understood or remembered.

There is no end to the many long-term, structural policies and programmes that created the ANC of today and that underpin its internal culture and its approach to the state.

But because history is a discipline we don’t value, we understand SA politics mainly as a series of interperso­nal relationsh­ips. And because those are subjective, analysis revolves largely around gossip, and who did what to whom.

The number of times politician­s say or do things directly in contradict­ion with a previous position they held is astounding. But unless that hypocrisy happens within a three-month window, it might as well not have happened. And it’s a vicious circle: once someone cottons on to this collective amnesia, it invites duplicity, as it never met with any meaningful consequenc­e.

The ANC’S elective conference in December is an exercise in wilful ignorance as far as public debate is concerned.

Nkosazana Dlamini-zuma’s appalling role in the Virodene scandal, Sarafina 2 and her complicity in former president Thabo Mbeki’s policy of “quiet diplomacy” in Zimbabwe might as well never have happened. Likewise, the tortuous explanatio­ns and endorsemen­ts Cyril Ramaphosa gave when he rejoined public life on Zuma’s terms.

These facts generate no outrage, or inform no contempora­ry analysis. It is as if they do not exist at all inside the bubble — the bubble, of course, in which we all exist.

In part, this is because it is difficult to point to any public intellectu­als of standing in SA — an Isaiah Berlin, Neil degrasse Tyson, Christophe­r Hitchens or Bertrand Russell. Our moral heroes have been politician­s or public figures like, Desmond Tutu.

It is amazing — SA’S history is one of racial nationalis­m. If ever there were a catalogue of precedents suited to explaining the ANC’S behaviour, it would be the history books.

But we can’t look back 10 years, never mind 100. SA is the man with no long-term memory, trapped in the permanent nightmare that is his short-term recollecti­on.

It’s probably why we take forever to learn any lessons, if we ever do at all.

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