Financial Mail

Striking coalition deals

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In terms of the ability to assemble and manage coalition government­s, the DA has a head start over its rivals.

The case of Johannesbu­rg provides a powerful example. During the 2016 municipal elections, the ANC won the most votes in Johannesbu­rg, with 44.99%. The DA came second, with 38.40%. When the results were announced, the headline of a News24 report stated that the “ANC takes Joburg, but gets below 50%.”

This is a glaring contradict­ion in terms, and a good example of how sensationa­list or sloppy reporting can misshape voter expectatio­ns.

The second part of the statement — that the ANC got below 50% — completely negates the statement that it “took” Johannesbu­rg. Even though the ANC got the most votes in the Johannesbu­rg metro, the fact that it fell short of a simple majority meant that it could not govern the city on its own.

Despite the DA being only the second-biggest party in the Johannesbu­rg council, it ultimately assembled a Da-led minority government that took control of the city.

Having fallen short of the 50% mark, the ANC’S status counted for very little because it failed to broker a deal with other parties.

In circumstan­ces where no party garners an outright majority, expert negotiator­s become the most powerful tools in any political party’s arsenal.

The ANC did not lose Johannesbu­rg in 2016 because it won fewer votes than the DA. The ANC lost because the DA out-negotiated it.

Unlike other establishe­d opposition parties such as the UDM, IFP and FF+, the DA has grown consistent­ly over the past decade, which has made it the senior partner in a number of coalition government­s.

Of all SA parties, the DA has by far the most experience when it comes to striking coalition deals. As the recent cases in Cape Town and Nelson Mandela Bay have shown, DA leaders are also able to keep coalitions together through turbulent times.

Given its long life, and relatively extensive governing experience, the DA has developed significan­t institutio­nal memory.

Moreover, its sophistica­ted and competent inhouse leadership training team means the DA is also well positioned to translate its institutio­nal memory into training programmes for its public representa­tives, thereby preparing the party for leading coalitions from 2019 onwards.

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