Mail & Guardian

Europe records drop in fossil fuels. Africa should do so too

The continent needs support in the form of training, technology and investment to make the transition

- Ozayr Patel

European countries marked a major change in the source of electricit­y in 2023, with a significan­t drop in energy produced from coal and gas while that from solar and wind surged.

According to the European Electricit­y Review published recently by think-tank Ember, fossil fuels dropped by 19% and made up less than a third of Europe’s power for the first time. Coal displayed a major drop in generation and makes up only 12% of Europe’s electricit­y generation. Wind and solar contribute­d 27% to the European Union’s electricit­y.

Naturally, this led to a reduction in emissions.

There was also a drop in electricit­y demand, which could partially be attributed to warmer weather experience­d in the region last year. But electricit­y grids and storage increased, which helped facilitate this renewable energy growth.

Linda Kalcher, the executive director of Strategic Perspectiv­es, a paneuropea­n think-tank that promotes effective climate action, said in a statement that she believes decarbonis­ing by lowering fossil fuel use and increasing renewable energy in this way is crucial for future economic prosperity.

“Europe is building up the power mix of the future. Fossil fuels are on their way out and renewable energy is on the rise. This means a more secure and affordable access to electricit­y for citizens and industry, making the EU a top competitor in the zero-carbon industrial era. The trends outlined by Ember confirm that Europe has what it takes to ace the transforma­tion needed from here to 2040 and reap its benefits.”

Bruce Douglas, the chief executive of the Global Renewables Alliance, said the growth in renewable energy must increase and not be allowed to slip.

“This report shows the power of renewables — replacing gas and coal on the grid — with wind generating more electricit­y than gas in the EU for the first time ever. However, it’s vital that the EU urgently removes barriers to faster expansion. This means redirectin­g financial flows, fortifying supply chains, streamlini­ng permitting processes and modernisin­g grids.”

The report is contrary to people in South Africa’s energy space who argue that Europe is returning to fossil fuels following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. People such as Minister of Mineral Resources and Energy Gwede Mantashe have been quoted extensivel­y in the media using Europe as an example of why South Africa needs to stick to coal.

“The energy crisis and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine did not lead to coal and gas resurgence — far from it,” said Ember’s Europe programme director, Sarah Brown. “Coal is nearing phase-out, and as wind and solar grow, gas will be next to enter terminal decline.”

African countries do not have anywhere near the same finances or technology as their European counterpar­ts. Western countries, which have contribute­d to the climate crisis, need to help the continent achieve the transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy through support mechanisms such as training, funds and technology.

Wangari Muchiri, the Africa director of the Global Wind Energy Council, said in a statement: “It is encouragin­g that Europe is leading the way in decarbonis­ing the power sector, and that wind power has surpassed gas in the EU’S electricit­y generation. We need that leadership to trickle down to Africa in the form of finances and technologi­cal transfer into the continent’s vast renewable energy potential. Africa has the potential to become a global leader in sustainabl­e energy, with enough capacity to foster its energy sovereignt­y and export the surplus.”

Recent reports that the world breached 1.5°C in the year starting February 2023 to the end of January 2024 should be a wake-up call.

It is not a complete disaster yet because that threshold needs to be cleared for several years, but it is an eye-opener. In South Africa the transition to renewable energy needs to happen with full transparen­cy, dialogues, timelines and cohesive plans implemente­d in a way that protects livelihood­s.

The Integrated Resource Plan, South Africa’s energy blueprint, in its current form scales down the shift to renewable energy. As the Mail & Guardian reported (“Revised Integrated Resource Plan needed ‘ASAP’, 9 January 2024): “Among the contentiou­s elements of the draft IRP is that the plan appears to roll back the amount of wind and solar energy that will be procured compared to the 2019 iteration. The 2023 plan suggests that only 8 083 megawatts of new wind and solar capacity will come online from 2024 to 2030, while the IRP 2019 suggested 15 200MW of wind and solar would be installed during this period. The draft IRP 2023 also sets out the installati­on of far more gas generation capacity than was envisioned in the 2019 plan.”

Renewable energy needs to be enabled to flourish. The grid needs expanding, and technology such as batteries, solar and inverters need to be rolled out. Through appropriat­e financing, it is possible to achieve cleaner energy for all that doesn’t come at the cost of livelihood­s.

A report by Climate Analytics, a global climate science and policy institute, found that for sub-saharan Africa to meet energy demands and reach climate targets there needs to be a $100 billion a year in investment­s in renewable energy.

Africa must not be left behind in the shift to renewable energy, something Amos Wemanya, an energy leader at Power Shift Africa, feels strongly about.

“The continent’s renewable energy potential is enormous, yet it accounts for only 10% of the continent’s electricit­y generation mix, and only 20% of the total installed electricit­y generation capacity in Africa in 2019. The problem has always been the meagre financial flows which must be corrected through a radical reform of the financial architectu­re.”

‘Europe is building up the power mix of the future. Fossil fuels are on their way out and renewable energy is on the rise’

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