Saturday Star

PERILS OF ANC DEFEAT

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WITH reference to Farouk Araie’s letter in the Saturday Star, he brings up a subject that I have been surprised has not raised its head before.

I am an avid newspaper reader and have not seen any written word on the matter – the possibilit­y of a civil war if the ANC is humiliated in the 2019 elections.

The modern history of Africa is littered with examples of government­s – particular­ly corrupt ones – being voted out of power but refusing to go, with the result that countries end up with a dictatorsh­ip or almost-dictatorsh­ip through the use of the army and security forces.

Everything written is about who could get into power, what coalitions could work, how would a government be formed with the different versions of potential coalitions and many other scenarios.

Some serious thinking should go into a possible “downside” to the election, how things could end up if the ANC “loses” the election (watch out for extraordin­ary lengths of time to “count” votes!) and what we can do or need to do from now to prevent any downside occurring.

One hopes that there are a number of senior ANC members who may still be sitting on the fence who may fully understand the looming “downside” and how the country can avoid it from becoming a reality.

M Edwards

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