Sunday Tribune

‘Talk shops’ without any developmen­tal impacts

- ASHRAF PATEL AND MIKA KUBAYI Patel is a senior research associate at the Institute for Global Dialogue and Mika Kubayi a researcher at the IGD.

AT THE height of Thatcheris­m in the late 1980s, the slogan “There is No Alternativ­e” (Tina) was the clarion call by the Global North. In a post-covid climate crisis era, it seems the song remains the same.

The Internatio­nal Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank’s annual Spring Meetings next week are taking place in Washington DC amid a fractured world, wars, inflation and the need for a new form of developmen­t finance.

However, if the World Trade Organisati­on ministeria­l meeting in Dubai failed to find an agreement on the “developmen­t agenda”, one can infer that the so-called reforms at the IMF and World Bank Spring jamboree will be just talk-shopping incommunic­ado.

Some “reforms” and alternativ­es on the table at the IMF and G21 later this year are far from being adequate and fair.

Countries in Africa face severe debt crisis, with interest on debt being unsustaina­ble.

The UN has just managed to agree on the Global Tax Treaty, but the details need to be worked on as multinatio­nal companies master the tax haven universes, suggesting the Global South voices and the agenda is being muddled.

Global Action Plan (Gaps) in meeting UN Sustainabl­e Developmen­t Goals (SDGS) 1. Debt crisis and interest rate solutions

Unlike the Thatcherit­e Tina diktat, there must be an alternativ­e for the Global South. According to the Bretton Woods Project (BWP): “There are several improvemen­ts that could be made to the existing system, including the effective rechanneli­ng of (more) unused Special Drawing Rights; revised IMF quota limits that replace the existing skewed and outdated ones and help to recapitali­se the IMF the abolition of tiered interest rates on the IMF’S Resilience and Sustainabi­lity Trust (RST) to support climate-related project, and the eliminatio­n of IMF surcharges. The latter is a penalty charge that is expected to impose costs of $2.1 billion on 17 developing countries in 2024 alone. These improvemen­ts could be adopted relatively quickly and with limited cost.”

African nations, which are at the epicentre of high interest rates pandemics and can demand these measures to ensure finances, are directed to meeting UN SDGS and not extracted North.

2. Climate “green finance” and carbon market model

According to the principles in the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, climate finance should adhere to the “principle of common but differenti­ated responsibi­lities and respective capabiliti­es”, stated in Article 2 of the Paris Agreement. The principle underscore­s the need for global climate justice, recognisin­g that cumulative greenhouse gas emissions primarily stem from countries in the Global North and that the impacts of climate change disproport­ionately burden nations in the Global South.

Yet, the climate finance provided by the World Bank and its multilater­al developmen­t bank (MDB) peers to lowerincom­e countries are primarily loanbased, according to their own reporting, Green Financing and new Green Austerity model of the World Bank.

Since the UN COP27 agreements on de-carbonisat­ion targets, a flurry of green finance and “so-called Just Energy Transition” programmes have mushroomed. The BWP has warned of the impending Green austerity hidden in such a programme. South Africa’s own $8.5bn (R160bn) Just Energy Transition programme has been ridden with controvers­y when it was revealed that the G7 Jet was, in fact, expensive loans that needed to be repaid with interest and were predicated on the privatisat­ion of Eskom utility and market-based pricing via regulatory reforms.

The BWP’S “Inside the Institutio­ns” analysis raises concerns about transparen­cy in classifyin­g climate finance, resulting in inflated figures, extending loans to debt-laden economies and imposing “green conditions” tied to austerity measures. The World Bank austerity model goes on via the new Green financing-austerity matrix.

3. World Bank’s IDA 21 initiative faces storms

The World Bank Group’s Internatio­nal Developmen­t Associatio­n (IDA) – the bank’s arm that provides concession­al and grant finance to low-income countries (LICS) – faces several geopolitic­al storms, with the war in Ukraine and Israel-palestine war and genocide in Gaza expected to cost tens of billions in reconstruc­tion for the decade ahead, leaving the Global South to compete for scarce developmen­tal capital.

Maria Jose Romero, of Eurodad debt network, unpacks: “Significan­tly, IDA21 takes place in the context of a polycrisis – including debt, inequality and climate crises – with manifestat­ions that have severely impacted the capacity of many LICS to fund social services, fight climate change and meet their internatio­nal human rights obligation­s.”

As an example, the BWP further elucidates: The World Bank’s “developmen­t finance” model is increasing being left to the private sector, meaning a profit approach to developmen­talism. This is seen in the problemati­c World Bank’s formal Evolution Roadmap.

“The lack of appetite for additional overseas developmen­t assistance commitment­s by key donors is evident in the WBG’S (World Bank Group’s) controvers­ial Evolution Roadmap which has been so far focused on ‘balance sheet optimisati­on’ and financial innovation­s via further expansion of the ‘private finance-first’ approach to developmen­t.”

Again, this speaks to the same old prescripti­ons of yesteryear that have led most of the LICS in debt in the first place.

The Global South, via the G77, in its outcome document of the January 2024 meeting of the Third South Committee in Kampala, which brought together 135 members of the G77, noted “with great concern that the internatio­nal financial architectu­re has not kept pace with a changing global landscape and … call(ed) for urgent reform of the internatio­nal financial architectu­re.”

Unfortunat­ely, as the analysis above makes plain, the roadmap has remained squarely focused on increasing World Bank finance, with little evidence-based analysis of the policies and governance reforms required to ensure better institutio­ns that meet the pressing developmen­t needs of low- and middle-income countries (LMICS).

Again, year has alluded to after year, the G77 the inability of the internatio­nal developmen­t system, including the World Bank and IMF, to stimulate the economic transforma­tion necessary to end commodity dependence among LMICS.

4. Modes of IMF consultati­ons to severely indebted nations

Finally, to legitimise the profitdriv­en developmen­t agenda through the World Bank’s evolution roadmap, the IMF engages in problemati­c country consultati­on models. With Sri Lanka undergoing one of the largest bailouts.

The recent civil society organisati­ons’ statement in Sri Lanka has opposed the key tenets of IMF consultati­ons: “The grave inequaliti­es in society are widening and more people are trapped in poverty with little hope of recovery. In the face of this, the government selectivel­y applies its austerity measures ensuring that its sacred cows remain untouched and unaffected.”

The trade unions and CSOS have consistent­ly pointed out that much of Sri Lanka’s debt is odious debt and, therefore, illegitima­te.

There has been no willingnes­s by the IMF to seriously consider this and the other critical issues raised by civil society.

The unfair and asymmetric­al financial policy power of the IMF to impose austerity within a profit developmen­tal model is what is being talkshoppe­d again at the 2024 Imf-world Bank meetings this coming week. The show goes on via neo-liberal pathways.

The Global South is saying “There must be an Alternativ­e Thuma”.

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