The Citizen (Gauteng)

JSE shares that sank ...

SALAMANDER­S VS SWALLOWS: IT’S TRULY A STOCK PICKER’S MARKET

- Sasha Planting

While small caps are feeling the sharpest losses, it’s evident mid caps are in distress. Moneyweb

The salamander­s (losers) are far more numerous than the swallows (winners) on the JSE in the year to date – and it shows an economy in distress. Common themes include: exposure to the sluggish domestic economy and to government business, rand strength, overpriced shares being derated due to slowing earnings growth, poor management and poor decision-making.

1. PBT Group

Prescient has delisted its financial services business, leaving only its tech business within the listed vehicle. Stellar Capital Partners acquired 49% of the financial business for R1.43 billion. Thus, Prescient shareholde­rs received a 85c-a-share cash dividend. The tech business could be interestin­g to watch.

2. Basil Read

In 2007, it was a market darling. Since then things have gone south, with little sign of improvemen­t. The CEO resigned in April and a R53.6 million net interim loss was announced. There are plans for a rights offer to raise R200m-R300 million to ease liquidity, stabilise the group and fund operations.

3. Dawn

The beleagured constructi­on group has announced the sale of its 49% stake in Grohe Dawn Watertech to Lixil for R324 million. New management will use this to pay off R200 million in debt and drive a recovery plan.

4. Eastern Platinum

The depressed platinum price is the last of this loss-making miner’s problems. Mining Weekly says AlphaGloba­l Capital has applied for the winding-up of the company, which it says is unable to pay its debts. Litigation and late filing of results compound the troubles.

5. ArcelorMi al

It’ll take a miracle to restore this steel producer in the current challengin­g global steel market. Comprehens­ive interim losses extend to R2.4 billion.

6. Stellar Capital

This investment holding firm looks like a no-brainer. It is invested in the industrial and financial services sectors, which should prove countercyc­lical. But the industrial assets are battling and the financial assets are too small to make an impact – though this may change with the addition of Prescient. A new CEO took the helm in September.

7. Efficient Group

It has three divisions providing financial planning solutions, a collective investment business and a business targeting corporate and institutio­nal clients.

Its growth is largely organic, with small acquisitio­ns adding top-up growth. It pays 80% free cash flow as a dividend.

8. Group Five

Bad contracts, weak governance, management turnover and shareholde­r activism led to a disastrous set of results and the board axed. Investors will bet on a turnaround story in a weak economy.

9. Consolidat­ed Infrastruc­ture

Focused on the sub-Saharan Africa energy and oil and gas sectors, it’s in a perfect storm. Its AES business has suffered with Angola’s woes and Conco’s domestic power arm has idled, waiting for R840 million-worth of renewable energy contracts to materialis­e. It is well-placed for future growth, once hindering factors are rationalis­ed, says an analyst.

10. Adapt IT

Recent headlines tell a story: “Adapt IT defies gravity”, “Adapt IT tracks its 2020 growth target”, “Driven by acquisitio­ns”. It has produced stellar growth since its JSE listing and continues to, at slightly more muted levels. Investor expectatio­ns are returning to reality.

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