The Citizen (KZN)

The highs and lows of Oracle

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An old friend of mine recently started his own YouTube channel where he posts his weekend Super Rugby handicap prediction­s, as well as a recap of the previous week. Calling himself “The Oracle” he has got off to a great start and after five weeks is well ahead of the bookmakers.

Now the Oracle and I met through sports betting years ago when he worked for a bookmaker who was advertisin­g on a website I had started with a partner. We shared a common interest in spread betting and many a long chat was had on how to make money from sports such as golf and cricket. I recall getting a phone call at 5am once and it was the Oracle telling me he was right about the Proteas losing an early wicket in Australia.

The guy is knowledgea­ble, but if he has a weakness it is that he gets overconfid­ent. In this week’s recap posting, for example, he speaks of last weekend being an easy one to make money on. He had a great week, but he would do well to remember that but for a Lions penalty after the hooter it would have been a pretty average week with a small profit.

Now don’t get me wrong the Oracle’s confidence is part of his appeal and is part of what makes his videos entertaini­ng.

He doesn’t hold back when having a go at the establishe­d rugby sites and is also quick to mock those who set some of the handicaps.

My worry is that he may just be getting a bit too sure of himself and history shows that is not a good thing. I only have to mention the words Jim Furyk or Tiger Woods to him and I have no doubt he will recall some darker times.

My message to the Oracle is to keep on putting up the winners with an air of justifiabl­e confidence. Beware, though, of stepping over the line and believing you are untouchabl­e because, as the saying goes, “pride comes before a fall” and the margins between success and failure in this game are very small.

Brent Graham is a sports betting blogger at

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