The Citizen (KZN)

Global financial crash looms

TRADE DISPUTES, TRUMP’S PROTECTION­ISM BLAMED BY FISCAL CHIEFS

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Rising US interest rates, tanking emerging market currencies and a bitter US-China trade spat could push the world towards its next financial crisis – but there is still time to avert disaster, global finance chiefs have said.

The world economy is still growing but faces an “unpreceden­ted” combinatio­n of threats, the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund cautioned at an annual meeting with the World Bank in Bali last week.

Among them is growing protection­ism championed by the Trump administra­tion and the intensifyi­ng trade and currency battle between Washington and Beijing.

Opening the Bali talks, Indonesian President Joko Widodo compared the dispute between the world’s two biggest economies to the hit television series Game of Thrones.

“Confrontat­ion and collision impose a tragic price not only on those who are defeated, but also on the winners”.

And IMF chief Christine Lagarde warned of a “degree of uncertaint­y that we have not seen before” in internatio­nal trade.

Disaster can still be averted, officials said in Bali, with reassuring talk from the global financial elite that growth remains strong – the IMF projects 3.7% for this year and the next – and could yet withstand the gathering risks.

And despite tensions, US and Chinese officials in Bali also sounded conciliato­ry tones.

US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin described “productive” talks with the Chinese on the yuan, which Washington has accused Beijing of keeping artificial­ly low to boost exports.

And China’s central bank governor Yi Gang called for “constructi­ve solutions” to the damaging tiff, but insisted that Beijing was not devaluing its currency to gain trade advantages.

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