The Citizen (KZN)

Landslides, floods mostly man-made

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Manila – Faulty warning systems, poverty and deforestat­ion of mountains in the southern Philippine­s turned recent unseasonab­ly heavy rains into deadly disasters, scientists said in a report.

More than 100 people were killed in landslides and floods in January and February on the country’s second-largest island of Mindanao, as the northeast monsoon and a low pressure trough brought downpours.

A study by the World Weather Attributio­n group found the unusually heavy rain in eastern Mindanao was not “particular­ly extreme”. But with people living in landslide-prone areas and shortcomin­gs in weather alerts, the rains became “devastatin­g”.

“We can’t just blame the rain for the severe impacts,” said Richard Ybanez, chief science research specialist at the University of the Philippine­s’ Resilience Institute. “A range of human factors is what turned these downpours into deadly disasters.”

In the deadliest incident, more than 90 people were killed when the side of a mountain collapsed and smashed into a gold mining village on 6 February, burying buses and houses.

While climate change was likely a driver of the heavy rain, the report said scientists were not able to quantify its impact due to the lack of available data.

“However, we did detect a strong trend in the historical data – compared to the pre-industrial climate, the heaviest five-day periods of rainfall now drop about 50% more rain on Mindanao island in the December to February period,” said Mariam Zachariah of the Grantham Institute at Imperial College London.

The scientists found a higher-than-average rate of poverty in the mountainou­s region had left people vulnerable, while “intensifie­d deforestat­ion” had increased the risk of landslides.

“Across the region of study, constructi­on in areas declared ‘nobuild zones’ raises these dangers considerab­ly,” the report said.

Policies, laws and funding of disaster risk management “have largely stalled over the past decades” and were concentrat­ed on post-disaster response, it said.

For example, automated sensors for rainfall and stream level “have not been recording data since at least 2022”. –

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