The Herald (South Africa)

SA 10th on Time list of biggest threats to world

- Dave Chambers

SOUTH Africa has made it on to a new Time magazine list of the world’s top 10 yesterday‚ but not in a good way.

The list sets out the biggest risks on the planet this year‚ and “a struggling South Africa” features at No 10.

Political risk consultanc­y Eurasia Group’s Ian Bremmer writes: “The deeply unpopular President Jacob Zuma‚ beset by corruption allegation­s‚ is afraid to pass power to someone he does not trust.

“The resulting infighting over succession stalls any momentum toward crucial economic reform in the country and limits South Africa’s ability to offer leadership needed to stabilise conflicts inside neighbouri­ng countries.”

Top of Time’s list is the unpredicta­bility thrust on the world by the inaugurati­on of Donald Trump as US president later this month.

“The world’s sole superpower was once the internatio­nal trump card‚ imposing order to force compromise and head off conflict, Bremmer said. “Now it’s a wildcard‚ because instead of creating policies designed to bolster global stability‚ President Trump will use US power overwhelmi­ngly to advance US interests‚ with little concern for the broader impact.”

The second greatest risk is China’s possible overreacti­on to Trump provocatio­ns.

“The sheer number of places where US-China tensions might play out – North Korea‚ Taiwan‚ Hong Kong‚ the East and South China Seas – make 2017 a dangerous year for China‚ and all who depend on it for growth

Zuma is afraid to pass power to someone he does not trust

and stability.” Next is the risk of a power vacuum in Europe.

“Strong leadership from [German chancellor] Angela Merkel has proven indispensa­ble for Europe’s ability to manage crisis‚” Bremmer wrote.

“Unfortunat­ely‚ though Merkel is likely to win re-election as Germany’s chancellor‚ she’ll emerge as a weakened figure. It will leave Europe with no strong leadership‚ at a time when strong leaders are badly needed.”

The rest of the list is economic slumps‚ technology disrupting the Middle East‚ politics interferin­g with central banks‚ the White House v Silicon Valley‚ Turkey’s ongoing crackdown and North Korea. – TMG Digital

 ?? Picture: ESA ALEXANDER ?? NO JOKE: Time magazine has laid the blame for a struggling South Africa mostly at President Jacob Zuma’s feet
Picture: ESA ALEXANDER NO JOKE: Time magazine has laid the blame for a struggling South Africa mostly at President Jacob Zuma’s feet

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