The Herald (South Africa)

Ebrahim Patel needs the resources, not just the rules

- Hilary Joffe Joffe is editor-at-large, Business Day

WHEN Economic Developmen­t Minister Ebrahim Patel introduced changes to competitio­n legislatio­n late last year to tackle the high levels of concentrat­ion in South Africa’s economy, it was in part a response to the calls for “radical economic transforma­tion”.

Patel sought to offer an alternativ­e means to drive economic growth and transforma­tion by opening up the economy to new – ideally black-owned – entrants and making it more dynamic and more inclusive. He had the explicit backing of then deputy president, Cyril Ramaphosa.

The “RET” agenda and its backers may have been marginalis­ed subsequent­ly, but Patel’s proposed amendments to the competitio­n legislatio­n are very much still on the agenda as one of the signature policy measures of the new Ramaphosa administra­tion.

The amendments are wending their way through Nedlac, where there’s been an unusually extensive consultati­on process between business, the government and labour – most recently on Monday.

The next step is for the parties to draft a Nedlac report, which should prompt revisions that will have to go back to cabinet before being tabled in parliament.

The minister has made it clear he wants to get the legislatio­n through in 2018.

Companies, especially big companies, need to start thinking about what the changes could mean for them.

The timelines seem optimistic though, for amendments that are as controvers­ial and as much in need of thoughtful debate as these are.

The controvers­y is not so much around the intentions – Patel has managed to rally surprising­ly broad support in business and the competitio­n law community, with a clear recognitio­n that something does need to be done to make the economy more inclusive and make it easier for small businesses to compete.

Rather, it’s a case of the devil being in the detail. And there is a great deal of controvers­ial detail in the amendments to the Competitio­n Act that Patel published in December – everything and the kitchen sink, competitio­n-wise, including a bunch of far-reaching changes unrelated to economic concentrat­ion.

The main tool the new legislatio­n proposes to deal with economic concentrat­ion is the market inquiry.

The Competitio­n Commission already has the power to launch market inquiries, but the amendments hugely extend these powers, mandating the commission to look at markets dominated by just a few players and to impose remedies – which could include ordering dominant companies to divest businesses to smaller players.

Most would agree with the minister that using the establishe­d tools of competitio­n regulation to address concentrat­ion concerns is much better than letting the government do this by decree.

However, there are big questions about the test the commission would use to trigger market inquiries, and about the remedies. There are even bigger questions about the commission’s capacity to implement all of this in a way that will do economic good, not harm.

The amendments set out a much lower test for the commission to intervene in sectors with market inquiries or abuse-of-dominance probes, but give it the power to impose potentiall­y very intrusive remedies.

The existing act asks whether mergers or conduct “substantia­lly prevent or lessen competitio­n”; the amendment talks merely about an “adverse effect on competitio­n”.

It’s unclear what that will mean in practice, and whether there are adequate safeguards to prevent abuse (or incompeten­ce).

And since the commission’s recommenda­tions on remedies will generally be binding on companies, with only some remedies such as divestitur­e required to be judged by the Competitio­n Tribunal, safeguards will be needed.

No doubt the legislativ­e clauses will be tweaked, but there’s still the bigger question of implementa­tion.

The commission is overextend­ed and under-resourced, chasing a host of cases with too few skills and, arguably, not enough sense of priorities.

It is already cutting the number of investigat­ions because it didn’t get the budget it required, it told parliament recently.

The commission is clearly not in any position to take on the new and complex task of investigat­ing concentrat­ed markets and devising remedies.

Expectatio­ns of the new legislatio­n are high; so too are the risks of damage to well-functionin­g companies and sectors, and to business confidence and investment. Some worry that if the commission fails to deliver effectivel­y on Patel’s intentions, more Draconian measures from government could follow.

He will have to make sure he has the resources, not just the rules.

The amendments make the minister even more powerful in competitio­n regulation than he is already, giving him the power to intervene in mergers on competitio­n grounds, not just the public interest grounds on which he intervened in deals such as Walmart/Massmart and AB InBev’s acquisitio­n of SABMiller.

They also give him access to confidenti­al documents.

Some wonder how the competitio­n authoritie­s can still be called independen­t if the minister calls the shots; others say the amendment will at least formalise and make transparen­t the interventi­ons Patel already does.

Companies need to start thinking about what competitio­n legislatio­n changes could mean for them

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