The Herald (South Africa)

UK annual inflation hits 13-month low

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BRITAIN’S annual inflation rate eased in April to 2.4%, the lowest since March last year, official data showed yesterday, weighing on the pound.

The Consumer Price Index 12-month rate had stood at 2.5% in March, the Office for National Statistics said in a statement.

Analysts had expected the rate to remain unchanged last month, but it was helped lower by cheaper air fares, the ONS said.

With inflation falling in recent months and Britain’s economic growth suffering a sharp slowdown in the first quarter amid tough Brexit talks, the Bank of England decided against raising its key interest rate earlier this month.

But with oil prices on the rise and the pound weakening, inflation risks picking up again in the coming months.

“The jump in the oil price has started to hit petrol pumps, pushing up costs for UK consumers and businesses alike,” AJ Bell investment officer Kevin Doran said.

“In addition, the weak pound will be driving up input costs for many UK companies, which will ultimately filter through to UK consumers in the coming months.”

The pound has slid in recent weeks, in part owing to forecasts that the Bank of England will not rush to raise borrowing costs. The data yesterday sent it falling further.

“Inflation falling for the third month in a row further dents any hopes of a late-summer rate rise from the Bank of England,” Hargreaves Lansdown economist Ben Brettell said.

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