Trump’s ‘fire and fury’ warning has investors scurrying
US PRESIDENT Donald Trump’s warning that North Korea faced “fire and fury” and Pyongyang’s response it was considering an attack on Guam drove investors out of stocks yesterday and into the safety of the yen, Swiss franc, gold and government debt.
European shares fell, following falls in Asia and on Wall Street. US stock index futures also fell, with the S&P 500 indicated to open down 0.4 percent.
“Trump’s comments about North Korea have created nervousness and the fear is if the president really means what he said about ‘fire and fury’,” said Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst at Think Markets in London.
“The typical text book trade is that investors rush for safe havens.”
Trump’s remarks on Tuesday that North Korea would face “fire and fury like the world has never seen” pushed Wall Street lower, with only utilities making gains and drove the VIX “fear gauge” of expected volatility on the S&P 500 to its highest in almost a month. The VIX last stood at 11.49, just below Tuesday’s high of 11.52.
A spokesman for the Korean People’s Army said in a statement it was “carefully examining” plans for a missile attack on the US Pacific territory of Guam, which has a large US military base.
In Europe, the pan-continental STOXX 600 index lost 0.8 percent, with falls deepening after reports a car had rammed a group of soldiers in Paris, injuring six.
France’s CAC dropped 1.2 percent and Germany’s DAX fell 1.1 percent.
Exporters hit
Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 share index closed down 1.3 percent at its lowest since June 1 as the strong yen hit exporters, while South Korea’s KOSPI index fell 1.1 percent to seven-week lows.
South Korea’s won currency dropped 0.9 percent against the dollar to its lowest close since July 13.
MSCI’s main index of Asia-Pacific shares, excluding Japan, was last down 0.5 percent. Chinese blue chips closed flat but Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index was last down 0.2 percent.
Instead, investors turned to the traditional safe-haven assets sought in troubled times, the Japanese yen strengthened 0.5 percent to 109.73 to the dollar, an eight-week high, and the Swiss franc reversed a two-week losing streak and gained nearly 1 percent to 0.9650 per dollar.
The Swiss currency was also on track for its biggest daily gain against the euro since last year’s Brexit vote.
Risks
“Heightened geopolitical risks overnight have seen the markets flip from risk-on to riskoff and we have to wait and see how long this move runs before adding some positions,” said Viraj Patel, an FX strategist at ING in London.
The dollar index, which measures the US currency against a basket of major peers, slipped 0.1 percent as US Treasury yields fell.
The euro dipped 0.1 percent to $1.1737 but the single European currency has been slipping this week against the dollar, having hit a more than two-and-a-half year high of $1.1892 on August 2. Yields on core government debt fell. Tenyear US yields dropped 4 basis points to 2.242 percent and German equivalents fell 3bps to 0.44 percent, their lowest since June 30. Gold rose 0.6 percent to $1.268 an ounce.
“We’ve had some competing forces play out over the past 12 hours – the US dollar was stronger off economic data, but that was quickly reversed with President Trump’s comments about North Korea earlier today (yesterday),” said ANZ analyst Daniel Hynes.
Oil prices fell for a third day on doubts over Opec’s ability to limit supply. Brent crude dipped 5 cents to $52.18 a barrel. – Reuters