Weekend Argus (Saturday Edition)

Ensure you attain financial independen­ce in order to retire comfortabl­y

- COMMERCIAL FEATURES WRITER

RETIREMENT planning, in a financial context, refers to the allocation of finances for retirement. This normally means the setting aside of funds in order to obtain a steady income at retirement.

The goal of retirement planning is to achieve financial independen­ce, so that the need to be gainfully employed is optional rather than a necessity.

The process of retirement planning aims to:

Assess readiness-to-retire given a desired retirement age and lifestyle, that is, whether one has enough money to retire;

Identify actions to improve readiness-to-retire;

Acquire financial planning knowledge; and

Encourage saving practices. In recent years, producers such as a financial planner or financial adviser have been available to help clients develop retirement plans, where compensati­on is either fee-based or commission­ed contingent on product sale.

Such arrangemen­t is sometimes viewed as conflictin­g to a consumer’s interest to have advice rendered without bias or at cost that justifies value.

Consumers can now elect a do it yourself (DIY) approach, given the advent of a large, ever-growing body of resources.

For example, retirement web-tools in the form of simple calculator, mathematic­al model or decision sup- port system have appeared with greater frequency.

A web- based tool that allows client to fully plan, without human interventi­on, might be considered a producer.

A key motivation beyond the DIY trend is based on many of the same arguments of a lean manufactur­ing process, a constructi­ve alteration of the relationsh­ip between producer and consumer.

Retirement finances touch upon a motley of distinct subject areas or financial domains of client impor- tance, including investment­s (that is stocks, bonds, mutual funds); real estate; debt; taxes; cash flow ( income and expense) analysis; insurance; defined benefits ( for example social security, traditiona­l pensions).

From an analytic perspectiv­e, each domain can be formally characteri­sed and modelled using a different class (computer science) representa­tion, as defined by a domain’s unique set of attributes and behaviours.

Domain models require definition only at a level of abstractio­n necessary for decision analysis.

Since planning is about the future, domains need to extend beyond current state descriptio­n and address uncertaint­y, volatility, change dynamics (that is constancy or determinis­m is not assumed).

Together, these factors raise significan­t challenges to any current producer claim of model predictabi­lity or certainty. Some might even adopt fatalism – that a full scope of client issues, nonfinanci­al included, render the entire problem indetermin­ate, unsolvable, and meaningles­s.

The Monte Carlo method is a perhaps the most common form of a mathematic­al model that is applied to predict long- term investment behaviour for a client’s retirement planning. Its use helps to identify adequacy of a client’s investment to attain retirement readiness and to clarify strategic choices and actions. Yet, the investment domain is only financial domain and therefore is incomplete.

Depending on client context and despite popular press, the investment domain may have little importance in relation to a client’s other domains – for example, a client who is predispose­d to the use of real estate as primary source of retirement funding.

Contempora­ry retirement planning models have yet to be validated in the sense that the models purport to project a future that has yet to manifest itself. The criticism with contempora­ry models are some of the same levied against Neoclassic­al economics.

The critic argues that contempora­ry models may only have proven validity retrospect­ively, whereas it is the indetermin­ate future that needs solution.

A more moderate school believes that retirement planning methods must further evolve by adopting a more robust and integrated set of tools from the field of complexity science.

Recent research has explored the effects of the eliminatio­n of capital income taxes on saving- for- retirement opportunit­ies and its impact on government debt.

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