Weekend Argus (Saturday Edition)

Five key questions you should ask when investing offshore

How much money you should invest offshore depends on your investment horizon and whether you will draw an income in rands. reports

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IT’S likely you are partly invested in offshore assets without being aware of it. However, if you are actively investing offshore, or are considerin­g doing so, there are several factors you need to take into account. What you should not do is move assets offshore on impulse; the decision should be a carefully considered one.

There are essentiall­y five questions you need to ask yourself when investing offshore (“offshore” in the context of this article means global, in any country other than South Africa): • Why should I invest offshore? • When should I invest? • Where should I invest? • What investment instrument­s should I use?

• Perhaps most importantl­y, how much of my portfolio should be offshore?

But first, check to what extent your existing investment­s hold offshore assets. It may be difficult to find out how much of your retirement fund is invested offshore (under regulation 28 of the Pension Funds Act, it can be up to 25%). But for your discretion­ary investment­s at least, such as unit trusts, you can get a good idea by consulting the fund fact sheets. You may be surprised: South African general equity funds, for example, can invest 25% in foreign equities and a further 5% in African countries other than South Africa.

Also remember that a number of companies on the JSE earn a large portion of their revenue offshore. Tamryn Lamb, the head of client servicing for Orbis, Allan Gray’s offshore investment partner, says: “South African investors do have a percentage of their portfolio effectivel­y earning offshore revenue through exposure to top JSE-listed companies, with about half of the earnings of the Top 40 listed companies, representi­ng more than 80% of the market, generated outside of South Africa’s borders.”

Commonly known as the JSE’s “rand-hedge shares”, which means they offer protection against a weak rand, they include Naspers, Richemont and Steinhoff.

WHY SHOULD I INVEST OFFSHORE?

There are good reasons for having a portion of your investment­s in foreign assets. Rushing offshore when the rand weakens is not one of them.

Pieter Hugo, the managing director of Prudential Unit Trusts, says: “Unfortunat­ely, South Africans have a history of panicking when the rand weakens sharply and responding by taking money offshore. Because the rand is a highly emotive subject, dominating the news headlines, investors’ immediate focus is often solely on the level of the rand, and not whether the South African assets they are selling and the foreign assets they are buying at the time are cheap or expensive (see ‘Share valuations’, above). They also tend to dismiss the question of whether they actually need to add offshore exposure based on their long-term investment goals.”

Diversific­ation across countries, industries and companies, as well as asset classes and currencies, is the primary benefit of investing offshore, Hugo says. It reduces the risk of a portfolio for the same expected rate of return. At the same time, Hugo says, offshore equities help to offset the risk inherent in the local equity market, which is among the world’s most concentrat­ed.

“Offshore assets also provide exposure to growth opportunit­ies, and to world-class companies and industries not available in South Africa. Apart from this, having a portion of an investment portfolio offshore acts as a safe-haven, helping ease investors’ worries about local markets and making them more likely to stay invested for the longer term,” Hugo says.

So diversific­ation is the prime reason. Another is that you may need money offshore because of personal reasons, such as being out of South Africa for long periods or educating your child abroad.

WHEN AND WHERE SHOULD I INVEST OFFSHORE?

It is not advisable to time the market, but if you are entering the market, the best time is when the rand is strong (as is currently the case) and when offshore assets offer good value (which may not be the case at present in certain regions).

Philipp Wörz, an equity analyst and fund manager at PSG Asset Management, notes that global equities have been in a bull market since the 2007/8 financial crisis.

“With both the MSCI World Index and the S&P 500 (the main United States index) trading at over 20 times earnings, they are well above long-term averages. The case for cheap offshore equity valuations – and correspond­ing opportunit­ies for strong long-term returns – is becoming weaker by the day,” Wörz says.

Depending in what you are invested, you may have a high degree of exposure to US stocks. Even if you don’t, a correction in the US stock market will affect markets around the world.

To have a truly diversifie­d portfolio, your offshore allocation needs to reflect that diversity, and it should include exposure to both developed markets and emerging markets.

Currently, Wörz says, there are still attractive opportunit­ies to be found across the globe despite the rise in overall valuations.

“In many cases, these opportunit­ies will not leave the average investor feeling ‘ warm and fuzzy’ – many of them are in unloved parts of the market that offer a greater chance of mispricing. In addition to emerging markets such as South Africa, there are great opportunit­ies in areas such as agricultur­al commoditie­s, US retail and UK domestic industrial­s,” Wörz says.

Should geopolitic­al factors influence your decision? They shouldn’t, the experts say, if you are invested for the long term.

HOW MUCH SHOULD I INVEST OFFSHORE?

This depends very much on your long-term investment goals, on how far away you are from retirement, and whether you will be retiring in South Africa or overseas.

If you are close to retirement and intend drawing an income in rands, you need to be very cautious about having too much of your savings offshore simply because of the volatile nature of the rand.

Hugo says: “Generally, the offshore portion of your portfolio will be larger the higher your targeted investment return (and therefore the higher the risk required).

“For example, if you have an aggressive return target of inflation plus 7%, you would tend to need between 35% to 40% offshore. A return target of inflation plus 6% is more in line with a typical ‘balanced’ fund, with around 30% offshore. Finally, a more conservati­ve target of inflation plus 2% or plus 3% would generally dictate offshore exposure of only 10% to 20%. These are guidelines, however; the exact exposure an individual needs should be determined with the help of a financial adviser.”

WHAT INSTRUMENT­S SHOULD I USE?

For investors wanting direct access to the full global listed equity universe that is not available on the JSE, there are three main routes to investing offshore:

• Through a local unit trust that is mandated to invest a portion of its assets offshore;

• Through a rand-denominate­d unit trust that invests entirely offshore; or

• In a fund from an offshore provider that is denominate­d in a foreign currency such as dollars.

Each option has its own tax implicatio­ns, and if you are investing in an offshore fund, foreign exchange regulation­s will apply.

Lamb says: “The simplest choice is to invest in a rand-denominate­d unit trust. These are offered by locally based asset managers, who offer ‘feeder funds’ directly linked to an offshore unit trust. You invest and withdraw in rands, but your investment is into foreign companies. The other route is to invest in foreign currency, either directly with an offshore provider, or through an South African based offshore investment platform. The attraction of this option is that you are invested in foreign currency. While going this route is a bit more administra­tion-intensive, it is not difficult.”

CONCLUSION

Lamb says all your choices must be made in the context of your financial plan.

“Investing offshore should never be a knee-jerk reaction to events, but rather a decision taken as part of an overall financial plan. Your personal circumstan­ces and risk tolerance should govern how much of your portfolio you should take offshore and into which asset class.

“Seek advice from a reputable financial adviser to help you navigate the greater complexity that inevitably arises from the huge number of funds available globally. It can otherwise be overwhelmi­ng.”

martin.hesse@inl.co.za

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