Sunday Times (Sri Lanka)

BY NEVILLE DE SILVA

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So it is May’s day. Prime Minister Theresa May who pledged that she will run her course as Prime Minister and dismissed the idea of an early election did a rather sudden u-turn. Those who remember the Margaret Thatcher era would recall her October 1980 conference speech when she told those waiting “with bated breath” for a Thatcher u-turn “You turn if you want to. The Lady’s not for turning”. She was punning on the title of the Christophe­r Fry play “The Lady’s Not for Burning”.

Politics in Britain as well as in Sri Lanka, until quite recently called the “Miracle of Asia” by tourist blurb writers with little imaginatio­n and no respect for facts, have come a long way since Thatcher’s words rocked the conference hall with laughter and applause that October day.

When Mahinda Rajapaksa called a presidenti­al election two years ahead of time it was said that two persons influenced the decision. One was his favourite astrologer and the other brother Basil who made a quick exit from the country after the Mahinda lost the election pleading mea culpa or words to that effect.

Basil Rajapaksa’s call for an early election appears to have been influenced by his reading of the political developmen­ts of the time whereas the astrologer seemed to have gazed at the wrong stars.

Theresa May’s announceme­nt last week of an election three years before the scheduled date had nothing to do with stellar movements but the political constellat­ion at home, and possibly in the European continent, the orbit from which she is trying to detach Britain.

The Fixed-term Parliament­s Act of 2011 passed during the time of a Conservati­veLib Dem coalition led by Prime Minister David Cameron, states that from the 2015 parliament­ary elections would be held every five years. However an early election could be triggered only if the government is defeated in a “no confidence” vote or if 2/3rds of MPs vote for an early election.

Theresa May who became Prime Minister following David Cameron’s resignatio­n after losing last year’s referendum on whether to stay or leave the European Union, was determined to stay the whole term during which her government would negotiate the best terms on which to quit the EU.

Her problem however was that a small group of Tory backbenche­rs who are opposed to the UK pulling out of the EU could prove troublesom­e during the negotiatio­ns and be damaging and even dangerous when she had only a slender majority in parliament.

There was the Scottish Nationalis­t Party (SNP) calling for another referendum on Scotland’s future, sniping at the Tory’s from the flanks in Westminste­r. Just last month the Scottish Parliament voted in favour of a second independen­ce referendum that would have only added to May’s woes as she struggled to convince Europe over the terms of UK’s exit from the Union.

And there was the Labour Party, the main enemy, facing the May government in the Commons but in a state of disarray with a lackluster leader still mouthing socialist shibboleth­s and trying to win the voters with more promises that would be hard to keep.

Theresa May saw the looming political landscape and decided the time was nigh to call an election before things began to fall apart. The latest polls showed that the Conservati­ves were 15-20 points ahead of Labour and who could blame her if she struck first like any political party would, making use of the prevailing political circumstan­ces to its advantage.

Most probably she would win with her call for a stronger and united nation. But would she get the kind of majority that would strengthen her hand at home and give her greater leverage in the negotiatio­ns with the EU.

While that is what she is counting on, the fact is that people here are getting more and more disgusted with politics and politician­s just as voters in Sri Lanka are tired of the mounds of broken promises by politician­s which are climbing as high as the mountains of garbage accumulate­d in Meethotamu­lla.

If May’s broken promise on regular elections might be excused as political expediency, there is a trail of other promises in the manifesto that seem to be falling by the wayside and leaving a trail of discarded pledges as the Tory Party does what is has always done - the shift of power to the wealthy and the already powerful.

While there are several manifesto pledges that now seem to have been binned, the most recent and perhaps the most serious as far as Chancellor Phillip Hammond’s political future is concerned is the dropping of a key budget proposal concerning national insurance contributi­ons.

One is reminded of several proposals by UNP Finance Minister Ravi Karunanaya­ke in the 2016 and 2017 budgets that ran into trouble after President Sirisena and the SLFP had second thoughts about their impact on the country.

To speak of the Conservati­ve Party of the UK and the UNP of Sri Lanka in the

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