CB Governor's comments on 'bubble' excessive, says condo builder
Sri Lankan condo industry officials are reacting strongly to a comment by Central Bank Governor Indrajit Coomaraswamy that the industry is getting overheated with too much credit and prospects of a bubble.
"I know we are living in a post truth world, but some of the broad generalisations made by the Governor are excessive, precipitous and don't seem to be grounded in established facts," said Hemaka de Alwis, Chairman of Fairway Holdings in a media statement.
Dr. Coomaraswamy told a recent meeting in Colombo that the apartment construction industry appeared to be overheating, using credit lines meant for SME's and provided a safe haven for black money.
Mr. de Alwis, whose group is also involved in building condos, said the apartment construction sector, despite the recent removals of tax concessions, has been one of the few robust segments of an otherwise lethargic domestic economy. His statement said: "The growth in the industry is driven by several factors. Despite 2/3 of the population living on 1/3 of the land area around the Western Province, Sri Lanka is one of the least urbanised countries in the world. In fact Sri Lanka's urbanization rate of 20 per cent is well behind the average for South Asia and half that of the global average. The UN World Urbanization Index of 2011 puts Sri Lanka at 199 out of 203 countries.
In recent years however the natural drift towards urbanization has been intensified by a high degree of centralization, particularly of educational institutions, around Colombo. This combined with weak traffic management, inefficient arterial roadways and lack of an effective mass transport system has created a strong demand for vertical urban housing around Colombo.
While agreeing that there is a possible bubble in the segment identified as 'luxury' by the governor, the mid-range market is driven by solid fundamentals, underlying a gradual move towards modern city life. Sri Lanka is not an isolated case but part of a global trend towards urbanized vertical living - there is clearly no bubble, as there is no unrealistic pricing but a strong trend of demand driven growth. Surely when the highest segment sells at double the price per square foot of the mid-range, there is every possibility of an unrealistic element in the pricing because the cost/quality base is the same - but the point is the whole industry can't all be tarred with the same brush. Given the robust market fundamentals and short project cycle times of two to three years, banks might be disposed to favour the industry. However, in contrast to the governor's claims, the trend depicted in purchases of Fairway apartments show that only 10 per cent of Fairway's customers use bank loans to finance their purchases, and 75 per cent of the customers 'buy to live in'. Both indicators suggest that people are converting existing assets into apartments to support an urban lifestyle change.
Banks not offering SME's sufficient credit and the existence of black money are clearly financial regulatory issues. Conflating them into an apartment development issue is irresponsible and damaging."