Sunday Times (Sri Lanka)

No plans to increase interest rates:Central Bank

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Based on current projection­s, an increase in market interest rates in Sri Lanka is not expected in the near term, the Central Bank ( CB) said on Monday.

Clarifying unnamed media reports which said interest rates may go up, the CB said in a media statement that the recent movements in headline inflation, core inflation, infla- tion expectatio­ns, broad money growth, credit expansion, expansion in economic activity as well as the internatio­nal reserve position do not justify the view that a rational market would also expect an increase in interest rates.

Official reserves are currently estimated at around US$ 7.9 billion compared to $ 6 billion at end 2016. The improvemen­t in reserves is recorded on both quantitati­ve and qualitativ­e aspects, with the CB purchasing $ 1.7 billion from the domestic market on a net basis in 2017 and $ 284 million so far during 2018.

The statement said that with the decline in food inflation, headline inflation has reverted to mid- single digit levels faster than expected, while core inflation, which is an indicator of demand driven inflation, has remained subdued. Inflation expectatio­ns, as measured by the CB’s Inflation Expectatio­ns Survey, have moderated. Economic growth has remained below potential, implying that there is space for aggregate demand to expand without fuelling inflationa­ry pressures.

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