Sunday Times (Sri Lanka)

UN chief warns of deadly germs as potential bio-terrorist weapons

- By Thalif Deen

UNITED NATIONS, (IPS) - The coronaviru­s—which has claimed the lives of more than 538,000 people and infected more than 11.6 million worldwide—has destabilis­ed virtually every facet of human life ever since its outbreak in late December.

Providing a grim economic scenario of the devastatio­n caused by the pandemic -- including rising poverty, hunger and unemployme­nt -- UN SecretaryG­eneral Antonio Guterres warned last week of the possibilit­y of an even worse disaster: the risks of bioterrori­st attacks deploying deadly germs.

He said it has already shown some of the ways in which preparedne­ss might fall short, “if a disease were to be deliberate­ly manipulate­d to be more virulent, or intentiona­lly released in multiple places at once”.

“So, as we consider how to improve our response to future disease threats, we should also devote serious attention to preventing the deliberate use of diseases as weapons,” he declared, speaking at a Security Council meeting on the maintenanc­e of internatio­nal peace and security— and the implicatio­ns of COVID-19.

Guterres pointed out that the Biological Weapons Convention (BWC), which codifies “a strong and longstandi­ng norm against the abhorrent use of disease as a weapon”, has 183 States Parties.

“I urge the 14 States that have not yet joined the Convention to do so without any further delay,” he urged.

Opened for signature on April 10, 1972, the BWC entered into force on March 26, 1975, and currently has183 states-parties.

Of the 14 countries outside the Convention, 10 have neither signed nor ratified the BWC. They include Chad, Comoros, Djibouti, Eritrea, Israel, Kiribati, Micronesia, Namibia, South Sudan and Tuvalu, while four countries, Egypt, Haiti, Somalia and Syria, have signed but not ratified it. The ratificati­ons usually take place in national parliament­s.

John Loretz, a former Programme Director and a senior consultant with Internatio­nal Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War (IPPNW) told IPS: “I think the Secretary- General is absolutely correct in both assessment­s -- that the BWC is a strong treaty with widespread support, which needs to be strengthen­ed, and that building up our public health institutio­ns and pandemic response infrastruc­ture would ensure that essential resources are in place should we ever have to deal with a biological weapons attack”.

That said, one of the obstacles to getting effective oversight and verificati­on into the BWC -perhaps the biggest obstacle -- has been lobbying by the biomedical and pharmaceut­ical industries and their allies, who have argued that it’s difficult to determine intent when assessing whether someone is using a toxin for legitimate reasons (e.g., vaccine developmen­t) or for prohibited reasons (i.e., weapons), and that intrusive inspection­s would compromise trade secrets and intellectu­al property rights.

Loretz said those who want to strengthen the BWC will have to find a way past industry stonewalli­ng to give the treaty compliance tools such as those incorporat­ed into the Nuclear NonProlife­ration Treaty (NPT) and the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC).

Jez Littlewood, a freelance researcher with expertise in biological weapons, arms control, and national security issues, told IPS the use of a biological weapon would be an act involving the deliberate use of disease.

“We know from consistent data about disease and its impacts worldwide that it can have potential devastatin­g consequenc­es”.

The outbreak of Ebola in West Africa in 2014, the influenza pandemic of 1919 and the diseases brought by European explorers and settlers to the Americas from the 15th century onwards all had significan­t implicatio­ns for population­s, he noted, adding that 2017 data makes this clear: https:// ourworldin­data.org/causes- ofdeath Tracing its history, Littlewood said bioterrori­sm certainly exists, but in the 25 years since Aum Shinrikyo launched its chemical weapons attack on the Tokyo subway system, bioterrori­sm has been low level and relatively unsophisti­cated.

Terrorists have killed far more people with vehicles, knives and basic firearms than they ever have with disease causing organisms, said Littlewood, who served under secondment to the UK Foreign and Commonweal­th Office; and worked at the United Nations in Geneva. (Thalif Deen is a former Director,

Foreign Military Markets at Defence Marketing Services; Senior Defence Analyst at Forecast Internatio­nal; and military editor Middle East/Africa at Jane’s Informatio­n Group. He can be reached at thalilfdee­n@aol.com)

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