Sunday Times (Sri Lanka)

Act now to rein-in fresh cluster

Experts urge a few measures including a short lockdown to catch all COVID-19 infections and stop their spread

- By Kumudini Hettiarach­chi, Ruqyyaha Deane & Meleeza Rathnayake

It is still not too late. Sri Lanka can ‘rein-in’ the current COVID-19 time bomb and mute its fallout if appropriat­e action is taken right now.

This was the consensus among many experts including those in the health sector whom the Sunday Times spoke to, who were adamant that “now lowgrade community transmissi­on has begun”. They offered valid measures to stem the tide of the latest COVID-19 cluster which mushroomed in Minuwangod­a ( from October 4), without a source of infection being identified yet. (Please see map)

While commending the health authoritie­s, the Tri-Forces, the State Intelligen­ce Service (SIS) and the police for the efforts put in ( implementi­ng preventive health measures, diagnosing positive patients and treating them, quarantini­ng those who have been exposed to the virus, contact tracing et al) since the start of COVID-19 in Sri Lanka, here are their suggestion­s to stop the spread of the current Minuwangod­a cluster:

A short (maybe 10-14 day) lockdown to ‘catch’ all infections and prevent the spread of the virus further. The cancellati­on of all public gatherings including public examinatio­ns. These sources said the argument of the health authoritie­s that Sri Lanka held a general election safely does not hold sway in the current scenario, as in August the only active clusters were Kandakadu (restricted to those in the Treatment & Rehabilita­tion Centre, its staff and those who had visited the centre) and the returnees who were in quarantine. Ramping up random RT-PCR testing but balancing it to ensure that Sri Lanka has adequate stocks if there is a crisis. Decriminal­izing and dispelling the stigma surroundin­g COVID-19 which makes people reluctant to go in for testing as well as quarantini­ng. This will prevent people running away and being sources of infection. Underscori­ng that the new coronaviru­s is an “unseen” enemy, many also reiterated that it is no respecter of persons (from gung-ho American President Donald Trump and British Prime Minister Boris Johnson to top celebritie­s and humble folk).

“We are not safe until a vaccine is found and we gain access to it,” said a senior health source, a view echoed by many, urging that Sri Lanka should not be under the false and dangerous presumptio­n that the country has “jayagathth­a” (won) over COVID-19.

COVID-19 is not a thing of the past. It is very much a ticking bomb of the present and also the future, many kept repeating, while urging that letting down the guard would bring disastrous consequenc­es.

“The Minuwangod­a cluster is different to all earlier clusters which were restricted to certain areas. There are no miracles in medicine – but following basic tested scientific thinking,” said a source.

Some experts gave their views on how the Minuwangod­a cluster could have erupted: The Minuwangod­a factory workers could have got exposed to the COVID-19 virus by interactin­g with a returnee from abroad (either Sri Lankan or foreign) before their 28-day quarantini­ng period was over. The Minuwangod­a factory workers may have got exposed to those infected in the last cluster in the country – the Kandakadu & Senapura cluster – which is now abating. The Minuwangod­a factory workers may have got exposed to the virus because it is already in the community.

With the urgency of finding the source of infection of the Minuwangod­a cluster, some sources, however, argued that if there was community transmissi­on in Sri Lanka and that was the unseen root of the latest c l u s t e r, the manifestat­ion of a community spread would have come earlier. Such a manifestat­ion of the community spread would have sent the elderly who are at high- risk in large numbers to hospitals and been evidenced by high morbidity ( disease) and mortality ( death) from COVID-19.

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