Bangkok Post

Ukraine key rate world’s highest

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KIEV: Ukraine’s central bank has raised its benchmark interest rate to the world’s highest, the fifth emergency move since the beginning of last week to arrest a plunge in the hryvnia as the nation moves closer to obtaining a bailout.

The National Bank of Ukraine raised its refinancin­g rate to 30% from 19.5%, effective yesterday, to stabilise the situation in the money and lending markets, governor Valeriya Gontareva said.

Higher borrowing costs will squeeze local companies and households already struggling with a recession. The decline in the hryvnia, the world’s worst performer in the past year, has spurred panic buying among shoppers and destabilis­ed banks. Before opting to push the key rate to the highest since 2000, the central bank used tighter capital controls and a one-day freeze on currency trading to steady the hryvnia.

“The picture is being blurred: every day a different measure is taken,” said Simon Quijano-Evans, head of emerging market research at Commerzban­k in London. “What the local population in particular needs is a clear policy picture from the central bank.”

The hryvnia, which has lost 60% against the dollar in the past year, has strengthen­ed or weakened more than 15% on a single day on five occasions this year.

Policymake­rs are tightening policy as Ukraine is working to access an Internatio­nal Monetary Fund loan to stay afloat after fighting with pro-Russian separatist­s in the country’s east helped wipe 15.2% off the economy last quarter compared with a year earlier.

The regulator, which is also trying to prevent capital flight, retained a requiremen­t for exporters to convert 75% of their foreign currency revenue.

As the economy deteriorat­ed, the hryvnia went into a tailspin, sending inflation to 28.5% in January, the world’s secondhigh­est rate behind Venezuela.

Annual price growth may be as quick as 272%, with a monthly rate of 64.5% that would qualify as hyperinfla­tion, according to estimates based on the hryvnia’s black market price by Prof Steve Hanke of Johns Hopkins University.

In a sign of contagion affecting the financial industry, the Ukrainian regulator declared Delta Bank, the country’s fourthbigg­est lender, insolvent on Tuesday.

The hryvnia’s plunge prompted the central bank to tighten capital controls last week as reserves declined to the lowest in more than a decade in January.

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