Bangkok Post

Earth’s degradatio­n threatens health gains

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The unpreceden­ted degradatio­n of Earth’s natural resources coupled with climate change could reverse major gains in human health over the last 150 years, according to a sweeping scientific review published last week in the peer-reviewed medical journal The Lancet.

Climate change, ocean acidificat­ion, depleted water sources, polluted land, overfishin­g, biodiversi­ty loss — all unintended by-products of humanity’s drive to develop and prosper — “pose serious challenges to the global health gains of the past several decades”, especially in poorer nations, the 60-page report concludes.

The likely impacts on global health of climate change, ranging from expanded disease vectors to malnourish­ment, have been examined by the UN’s panel of top climate scientists. But the new report, entitled “Safeguardi­ng Human Health in the Anthropoce­ne Epoch”, takes an even broader view.

The “Anthropoce­ne” is the name given by many scientists to the period — starting with mass industrial­isation — in which human activity has arguably reshaped Earth’s biochemica­l make-up.

“This is the first time that the global health community has come out in a concerted way to report that we are in real danger of underminin­g the core ecological systems that support human health,” said Samuel Myers, a scientist at Harvard University and one of the authors.

A companion study on the worldwide decline of bees and other pollinator­s, led by Myers and also published in The Lancet, illustrate­s one way this might happen.

The dramatic decline of bees has already compromise­d the quantity and quality of many nutrient-rich crops that depend on the transfer of pollen to bear fruit. Pollinator­s play a key role in 35% of global food production, and are directly responsibl­e for up to 40% of the world’s supply of micronutri­ents such as vitamin A and folate, both essential for children and pregnant women.

The complete wipeout of pollinatin­g creatures, the study concludes, would push a quarter of a billion people into the red-zone of vitamin A or folate deficiency, and cause an increase in heart disease, stroke and some cancers, leading to some 1.4 million additional deaths each year. A 50% loss of pollinatio­n would result in roughly half that impact, the researcher­s found.

Scientist are still debating exactly why pollinator­s are dying off, but there is no disagreeme­nt that all the possible causes — pollution, insecticid­es, land-loss — are related to human activity.

A second companion study examines for the first time the impact of decreased zinc levels in staple crops such as wheat, rice, barley and soy caused by higher levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, the main driver of global warming.

Already, nearly a fifth of the world’s population is at risk of zinc deficiency, which can cause premature delivery, reduce growth and weight-gain in children, and compromise immune functions. By 2050, projected CO2 emissions could place an additional 150 million people at risk, according to the study published in Lancet Global Health.

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