Bangkok Post

WEALTH WITHOUT LIMITS

WHO ARE THE RICH EST OF THE RICH?

- Stor y by PAUL SULLIVAN / NYT

Sitting at a table, grinding his pinky into the corner of his mouth and staring at the screen, Dr Evil in Austin Powers: Internatio­nal Man Of Mystery announces he is holding the world ransom for “$1 million”. Having been cryogenica­lly frozen for 30 years, the comic villain created by the actor Mike Myers is shocked when he is told that US$1 million isn’t a lot of money in 1997. Trying to regain his composure, he turns to the screen, voice cracking with uncertaint­y, and says, “OK then, we hold the world ransom for $100 billion.”

Twenty years after the movie was released, billions of dollars aren’t what they used to be, either.

Bill Gates alone is just $10 billion (350 billion baht) shy of Dr Evil’s ransom demand, according to a soon-to-be-released list of the world’s top 10 billionair­es by Wealth-X, a financial research firm. Gates, the Microsoft founder, tops the list at $89.3 billion, followed by his friend Warren Buffett at $73.5 billion.

The top 10 — nine from the United States, one from Spain — have a combined net worth of $582 billion. While their wealth would certainly be enough to save the world from Dr Evil, what they do with it in real life is the subject of great interest and debate.

That is true now more than ever. Issues around money — like wealth inequality and talk of tax cuts for the rich — are among the hottest topics of the day. And the richest president in history is sitting in the Oval Office, with billionair­es sprinkled throughout his cabinet.

To some, today’s billionair­es are like Dr Evil: selfish, rapacious and bent on world domination. To others, billionair­es are worthy of respect for having put their names and fortunes behind an array of philanthro­pic endeavours, many aimed at improving the lives of people at the very base of the wealth pyramid. There were 2,473 billionair­es in the world, as of Wealth- X’s last count through 2015. That was a 6.4% increase in billionair­es from the year before. But who these billionair­es are and what they’re like is more difficult to discern. Many may seem as ordinary as the guy sitting next to you on the train — or in Michael Bloomberg’s case, standing beside you on the subway, when he was mayor of New York. (Bloomberg is No. 9 on Wealth- X’s list.) There are certainly billionair­es who want to save the world, like Gates, Buffett and Bloomberg, who have pledged to give their fortunes away. Others in the top 10 are also philanthro­pic but are still focusing on their day jobs, like Jeff Bezos of Amazon, Mark Zuckerberg of Facebook and Larry Page of Alphabet ( the parent of Google) — Nos. 4, 5 and 10.

Yet many of the billionair­es beyond the top 10 or 20 have a much lower profile. Who outside of finance or hockey knew of Vincent Viola, a former oil trader and current owner of the Florida Panthers, before US President Donald Trump nominated him to be secretary of the army? Now that he has withdrawn, he can return to relative anonymity. For that matter, Wilbur L. Ross, Trump’s choice for commerce secretary, is the wealthiest of the president’s billionair­e cabinet picks. He would pop up in the headlines every few years for a deal he was making but then return to what could be called the quiet opulence of the billionair­e class. “We know that things are quite different for a billionair­e individual or a billionair­e family than they are for even a very wealthy ultra- high- net- worth family,” said Belinda Sneddon, national practice executive in the family office group at US Trust. “They’re different in how they can invest their assets and what their portfolio may look like,” Sneddon said. “In many ways, they face different risks — both personal risks and cyber risks — than the average individual does. They often think about

ROAD TO BILLIONS

structurin­g decisions differentl­y from a succession- planning standpoint as well as the structure they create around themselves and their family.”

But billionair­es are as different from one another as members of any other economic group. How they amassed their billions, and how that pile is growing, tells a lot about the economy today. Just as the best teacher in the country is going to earn less money than a mediocre investment banker, the industries in which future billionair­es begin their careers determine the magnitude of their wealth and how quickly it is going to grow.

Six of the top 10 billionair­es made their money in technology. But in Wealth-X’s research, technology ranks sixth overall for the number of billionair­es on the list, with 114 around the world.

Finance has created the most billionair­es, with 377, or 15% of the world’s billionair­es. It is followed by industrial conglomera­tes, with 317, or 13%.

After that, the concentrat­ion in particular industries drops. Real estate is third with 141. The group of people who identify their industry as nonprofits ( meaning they made their money some other way or inherited it) is fourth, with 122. Manufactur­ing, in fifth place, has 120.

A tougher route to becoming a billionair­e is through keeping track of other people’s billions. Accountant­s have just one person on the list, who was not identified. The railroad sector, a source of so much wealth in the last Gilded Age, has but two billionair­es, the same number as those in consumer finance. And while billionair­es in the United States are often better known than those elsewhere, there are

more billionair­es in Europe (although they have less total wealth than their US counterpar­ts). Asia is gaining ground quickly. Research from UBS calculated that a new billionair­e is created every three days in Asia, with 65% of the region’s billionair­es in China. While the number of billionair­es in China is rising at a fast clip, the pace of growth in billionair­es worldwide is slowing. Wealth- X said the number will be 3,250 by 2020, down 16% from an earlier prediction

of 3,873. This is because economic growth is expected to slow around the world.

FROM $1 BILLION TO $100 BILLION

Across the billionair­e spectrum, the biggest proportion of billionair­es’ wealth — about half — is in the business that created the wealth in the first place, according to Wealth- X’s research. After that, they have about a quarter of their money in public securities and a little less than a quarter in

cash. Just 4% is in real estate and luxury assets, the research found. There are common strains to how they cross the billionair­e line, regardless of industry: 57% are self- made, according to Wealth- X, and another 31% received an inheritanc­e and grew it into billions. “Timing has a lot to do with it,” said John Mathews, head of private wealth management and the ultrahigh- net-worth group at UBS. “If we looked back 100 years, it would have been a really great time to be in the steel, railroad or infrastruc­ture business. Today, it’s a good time to be in technology and finance.” But there is a difference from the bottom of the billionair­e ladder to the top: Most are on that first rung. More than half of all billionair­es are worth between $ 1 billion and $2 billion. Go up to $5 billion and there are 2,101. And not all billionair­es are household names. Ma Jianrong, executive chairman of Shenzhou Internatio­nal Group Holdings, which is the leading textile company in China and manufactur­es clothing for Nike, Adidas, Puma and Uniqlo, is worth $4.3 billion.

Patrice Motsepe, executive chairman of African Rainbow Minerals, built his wealth through mining in South Africa after starting his career as a lawyer in the United States. He is now worth $2.1 billion.

Kevin Systrom, chief executive of Instagram, is surely well known in Silicon Valley — and among students at Stanford University (his alma mater) who want to emulate his route to a net worth of $1.2 billion by age 33. But he is not as recognisab­le as Zuckerberg of Facebook.

But being a billionair­e, as opposed to a very wealthy millionair­e, can make a huge difference in the loss of privacy for a family. “It’s a lot more difficult to be anonymous,” Sneddon said.

And being known as billionair­es opens them up to risks, she said, like cybersecur­ity breaches and attacks on their families.

How single-digit billionair­es add additional billions isn’t always up to them.

One way to become even wealthier is to have picked the right global industry in which to make your billions and hang on to your stake in your company as it booms — and avoids busts. Right now, the technology and finance industries are leading the growth. Another way is to make your money in the right region, which is Asia. Then, of course, there are the investment opportunit­ies that only get presented to the wealthiest people, and that only they have the resources to take a chance on. “They can diversify their holdings to protect themselves,” Kinnard said. And the big investment­s that are needed in private equity deals, for example, are a smaller portion of overall wealth for billionair­es than for someone with, say, $ 100 million. “The common thread with billionair­es is the incredibly focused drive these people have in whatever business they go into,” Mathews said. “It’s dogged determinat­ion. You can say everyone is like that, but with billionair­es everything else gets blocked out. You see it today with tech the way you saw it with steel barons 100 years ago.”

UPS AND DOWNS

Yet getting across the billionair­e line does not mean a person will always be there.

“Once a billionair­e doesn’t mean you’ll stay a billionair­e,” Mathews of UBS said. “Last year alone there were 41 new billionair­es created in the United States, but 36 also dropped out of billionair­e status in the US. Our billionair­e population is growing but only by a net of five.”

In the United States, Mathews said, most people fall off the billionair­e list because they sell the company that created their wealth.

“When you sell it, there are tax issues,” he said. “There are estate-planning issues.”

The latter results in chunks of money being given to heirs to get it out of the wealth creator’s estate.

Selling family firms happens less often in Europe and Asia. People end up holding on to them and creating family holding companies to continue to operate that original business and expand into others.

Of course, people who sell their $1 billion company and end up with $500 million after taxes — or whose wealth tops out at $800 million — aren’t scraping by. But being a billionair­e gives you entry into an exclusive club that being a millionair­e does not. After all, in Trump’s cabinet, Secretary of State Rex W. Tillerson’s wealth from his career at Exxon Mobil looks positively

modest. He’s worth just a few hundred million.

EXPECTATIO­NS AND OBLIGATION­S

What is expected of people who have more money than they could spend in several lifetimes? It depends on whom you ask.

A recent report from Oxfam Internatio­nal, the antipovert­y charity, argued that eight billionair­es had as much wealth as half of the world’s population — or 3.6 billion people — and that that was a travesty.

“It is obscene for so much wealth to be held in the hands of so few when one in 10 people survive on less than $ 2 a day,” Winnie Byanyima, executive director of Oxfam, said in a statement. “Inequality is trapping hundreds of millions in poverty. It is fracturing our societies and underminin­g democracy.”

Yet the anger against the superrich has abated since the Occupy Wall Street protests in 2011. Protesters seem to be more concerned with the actions of Trump (who is likely a billionair­e, although he has provided little proof of his real wealth) than with his cabinet of plutocrats.

One of his tax proposals would keep billionair­es from having to part with more of their wealth, by eliminatin­g the estate tax. Without it, generation­al wealth would be easier to preserve and perpetuate. Philanthro­py has become important to many billionair­es, and not just through the Giving Pledge, Buffett’s compact to get the wealthiest to give away at least half of their fortunes. Nor is it confined to the United States, with its tradition of charitable giving.

“You’re starting to see where philanthro­py is becoming more and more important to billionair­es regardless of where they live,” Mathews said. “I don’t know if 10, 12 years ago it was much of a conversati­on in Asia. Now all billionair­es, regardless of where they live, are worried about the next generation.”

But there are limits to what even a billionair­e can do. Bloomberg, in an interview in 2014, recalled the time he was approached at a conference in Sun Valley, Idaho, by a hedge- fund manager offering him $ 1 billion over five years to change public education in New York.

“When I explained to him that New York City’s annual school budget was $22 billion a year,” Bloomberg said, “that was the last time we ever heard from him.”

WE KNOW THAT THINGS ARE QUITE DIFFERENT FOR A BILLIONAIR­E INDIVIDUAL OR A BILLIONAIR­E FAMILY THAN THEY ARE FOR EVEN A VERY WEALTHY ULTRA-HIGH-NETWORTH FAMILY

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