Bangkok Post

Major banks pass Fed’s stress test

- MICHELLE PRICE DAVID HENRY

The 35 largest US banks have all cleared the first stage of an annual stress test, showing they would be able to maintain enough capital in an extreme recession to meet regulatory requiremen­ts, the Federal Reserve said on Thursday.

Although the banks, including household names like JPMorgan Chase & Co, Citigroup Inc and Bank of America Corp, would suffer $578 billion in total losses in the Fed’s most severe scenario to date, their level of high-quality capital would be substantia­lly higher than the threshold that regulators demand — and higher than levels seen immediatel­y leading up to the 2007-2009 crisis, the Fed said.

The Fed introduced the stress tests in the wake of the financial crisis to ensure the strength of the banking industry, whose ability to lend is considered crucial to the health of the economy.

Since the first test was conducted in 2009, big banks have seen losses abate, loan portfolios improve and profits grow. The banks that now undergo the exam have also strengthen­ed their balance sheets by adding more than $800 billion in top-notch capital, the Fed said.

Banks and their investors have been hoping the improvemen­ts would prompt the Fed to allow them to use more capital for stock buybacks and dividends, and would also boost the case for further regulatory relief promised by the administra­tion of President Donald Trump.

The Fed increases the difficulty of the test as the broader economic environmen­t improves. This year the test features a severe global recession with the US unemployme­nt rate rising by almost six percentage points to 10%, accompanie­d by a steepening Treasury yield curve.

The 35 banks tested, which also includes Goldman Sachs Group Inc, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo & Co, Capital One Financial Corp, PNC Financial Services Group Inc and U.S. Bancorp, accounts for around 80% of US banking assets.

Despite putting in an overall strong performanc­e, some banks’ results were adversely affected by the new federal tax law, which changed the impact of past losses on their hypothetic­al tax bills under the scenarios, senior Fed officials said.

This year is also the first in which the Fed will publicly release results of six foreign lenders, including Deutsche Bank AG, Credit Suisse Group AG and UBS Group AG, after requiring them to create consolidat­ed US holding companies with ring-fenced capital.

The Fed tested those new entities last year in a trial run, the results of which are confidenti­al.

Deutsche Bank, whose US operations have been under intense regulatory scrutiny, also easily met all the minimum capital requiremen­ts, as did Credit Suisse and UBS, the results showed.

In general, senior Fed officials said they were pleased by the performanc­e of the foreign banks, which have not had as long as their US peers to prepare for the test.

Thursday’s results are the first of a twopart exam. It showed whether the banks would meet minimum requiremen­ts under the Fed’s methodolog­y, using materials they submitted.

The second portion of the test, to be released next Wednesday, will show whether the Fed approves or denies banks’ capital plans.

Banks now have an opportunit­y to resubmit those plans if they find their own projection­s were much sunnier than the Fed’s.

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from Thailand