Zimbabwe to hold elections
FRAUD THREATENS TO SPOIL POST-MUGABE VOTE
>> HARARE: Zimbabwe goes to the polls tomorrow in its first election since authoritarian leader Robert Mugabe was ousted last year, with allegations mounting of voter fraud and predictions of a disputed result.
President Emmerson Mnangagwa, Mr Mugabe’s former ally in the ruling ZANU-PF party, faces opposition leader Nelson Chamisa of the MDC (Movement for Democratic Change) party in a landmark vote for the southern African nation.
Zimbabwe’s military generals shocked the world in November when they seized control and ushered Mr Mnangagwa to power, ending Mr Mugabe’s 37-year reign in a few short days.
Mr Mnangagwa, 75, who promises a fresh start for the country, is the front-runner with the advantage of covert military support, a loyal state media and a ruling party that controls government resources.
But Mr Chamisa, 40, who has performed strongly on the campaign trail, hopes to tap into a young population that could vote for change as ZANU-PF has ruled since the country’s independence from British colonial rule in 1980.
Elections under Mr Mugabe were marred by fraud and violence, and this year’s campaign has been dominated by accusations that the vote will be rigged.
The MDC has raised allegations of a flawed electoral roll, ballot paper malpractice, voter intimidation, bias in the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission (ZEC) and free food handed out by the ruling party.
But campaigning has been relatively unrestricted and peaceful compared with previous elections, but some analysts point to pressure for the vote to be judged credible.
“The international community is looking for an election that will provide sufficient excuse to re-engage with Zimbabwe,” said Showers Mawowa, an analyst at the Southern African Liaison Office rights advocacy group.
“There are a lot of political and economic interests at play that are converging around the prioritisation of stability.” Mr Mawowa said the risk of violence could be highest after polling day.
“There is reason to be anxious about whether the military will accept an opposition victory, because they recently executed a de-facto coup,” he said.
“Post-election violence might be a possibility, with the opposition making it clear that they are not going to accept an outcome in which they have not won.”
Polling accuracy in Zimbabwe is uncertain, but a recent Afrobarometer survey of 2,400 people put Mr Mnangagwa on 40% and Mr Chamisa on 37%, with 20% undecided.
Mr Mnangagwa, who is accused of involvement in election violence and fraud under Mr Mugabe, has vowed to hold a fair vote and invited in international observers — including the previously-banned European Union team.
“This is the new Zimbabwe we want. We shall continue to grow,” he said at an opening of a chrome processing plant this week.
“Zimbabwe shall never be the same again. We preach peace, we preach unity and we preach tolerance.”
Chamisa has launched blistering attacks on Mr Mnangagwa and accused the much-criticised Zimbabwe Electoral Commission (ZEC) of trying to fix the election.
But he vowed not to boycott the vote, saying his party would still win.
“We have a ZEC that has chosen to throw away the whistle as a referee and joined another team,” he said on Wednesday. “Winners don’t boycott. Victory is inevitable.”
The UN High Commission for Human Rights has warned of growing concern over alleged intimidation and threats of violence in the run-up to the election but said it was encouraging to see open rallies and peaceful demonstrations.
The next government must tackle mass unemployment and an economy shattered by Mr Mugabe’s seizures of white-owned farms, the collapse of agriculture, hyperinflation and an exodus of investments out of the country.