Bangkok Post

SLOWER PACE

A measure of US factory activity retreated from a more than 14-year high in September as growth in new orders eased.

- LUCIA MUTIKANI

WASHINGTON: A measure of US factory activity retreated from a more than 14-year high in September as growth in new orders slowed, but supply bottleneck­s appeared to be easing, suggesting a steady pace of expansion in manufactur­ing.

Other data on Monday showed a small increase in constructi­on spending in August amid weakness in investment in private residentia­l and nonresiden­tial projects. The report did little to change views of strong economic growth in the third quarter.

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said its index of national factory activity dropped 1.5 points to a reading of 59.8 last month from 61.3 in August, which was the highest since May 2004.

A reading above 50 indicates growth in manufactur­ing, which accounts for about 12% of the US economy.

“It may not be the best of times for manufactur­ers, but it is pretty close to that,” said Joel Naroff, chief economist at Naroff Economic Advisors in Holland, Pennsylvan­ia.

The ISM continued to describe demand as remaining “robust.” The institute also noted that “the nation’s employment resource and supply chains continued to struggle, but to a lesser degree.”

It said factories remained “overwhelmi­ngly concerned about tariff-related activity, including how reciprocal tariffs will impact company revenue and current manufactur­ing locations.”

President Donald Trump’s “America First” trade policy have left the United States embroiled in a bitter trade war with China and tit-for-tat import tariffs with other trading partners, including the European Union, Canada and Mexico.

Washington last week slapped tariffs on 200 billion dollars’ worth of Chinese goods, with Beijing retaliatin­g with duties on 60 billion dollars’ worth of US products. The United States and China had already imposed tariffs on 50 billion dollars’ worth of each other’s goods.

The United States salvaged a trilateral free trade accord with Canada and Mexico on Sunday, which underpins $1.2 trillion in trade between the three countries.

While data have suggested little impact on the economy so far from the tariffs, analysts warn that the import duties could disrupt supply chains, undercut business investment and slow the economy’s momentum.

According to the ISM survey, some managers in the computer and electronic products industry said “the market is in a state of chaos with the latest round of tariffs.” Their counterpar­ts in the chemical products sector complained that “tariffs (are) starting to take a bite out of profitabil­ity.”

The ISM’s new orders sub-index fell to a reading of 61.8 last month from 65.1 in August. The survey’s factory employment measure rose to 58.8, the highest reading since February, from 58.5 in August.

This suggests manufactur­ing payrolls probably rebounded in September after falling in August for the first time in 13 months.

The government will publish September’s employment report on Friday.

The ISM’s supplier deliveries index fell to a reading of 61.1 last month, pointing to some easing in bottleneck­s in the supply chain, from 64.5 in August. It hit a 14-year high of 68.2 in June. The ISM’s prices paid measure fell to a 10-month low in September.

A second report from the Commerce Department showed constructi­on spending edged up 0.1% in August after rising 0.2% in July.

Spending on public constructi­on projects jumped 2.0% in August to the highest level since July 2009. That followed a 1.7% increase in July.

Spending on f ederal government constructi­on projects soared 5.9% to a 10-month high after increasing 2.3% in July.

State and local government constructi­on outlays accelerate­d 1.7% in August to the highest level since March 2009. That followed a 1.6% rise in July.

But spending on private constructi­on projects fell 0.5% in August after decreasing 0.2% in July. Private constructi­on outlays have now declined for three straight months. Investment in private residentia­l projects fell 0.7% in August after gaining 0.2% in July.

Home-building has been constraine­d by rising material costs as well as persistent land and labor shortages. Residentia­l investment contracted in the first half of the year and is expected to have declined further in the third quarter.

Spending on private nonresiden­tial structures, which includes manufactur­ing and power plants, slipped 0.2% in August after declining 0.8% in July.

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