Bangkok Post

Wayfair Copied Amazon to Grow Fast. Now, It Searches for Profits

Online furniture seller’s quarterly loss more than doubles as spending outstrips sales growth

- SARAH NASSAUER CHARITY L. SCOTT

In nearly two decades, online home-goods seller Wayfair Inc. has grown quickly by burning through profits. Now the e-commerce company is trying to show investors it can moderate its losses as revenue growth slows and investor appetite for unprofitab­le companies dries up.

“Ultimately every company needs to be selffinanc­ing,” co-founder and Chief Executive Niraj Shah wrote in an email to staff earlier this month, explaining his decision to cut about 550 jobs after hiring thousands of people in recent years.

On Friday Wayfair said it lost $330 million in the quarter ended Dec. 31, more than twice as much as it lost a year earlier. Quarterly sales rose 26% from a year before, but operating expenses jumped 44%. The company’s annual net loss nearly doubled to $985 million.Mr. Shah promised to moderate costs across the company in 2020, specifical­ly calling out advertisin­g spending on Wayfair’s fourth-quarter earnings call. “We want to reemphasiz­e across Wayfair that scarcity is an asset, and this applies to marketing as well,” he said. Executives said it would take until 2021 for the company’s U.S. business to generate consistent operating earnings.

Wayfair isn’t like traditiona­l furniture chains such as West Elm or IKEA, which stock stores and warehouses with curated inventory. It sells sofas and tables much like Amazon sells books and toys. It has filled its website with millions of listings and promises free shipping on much of it.

It spends heavily on marketing to attract web shoppers. It keeps minimal inventory and often ships directly from suppliers. That has quickly created a company with more than $9 billion in annual sales but also with losses every year since it went public in 2014.

It was a formula that investors mostly embraced until recently. The Boston company’s stock tumbled in October after it reported a steep quarterly loss, and the shares have lost more than 50% of their value over the past 12 months. The stock fell 18% Friday morning, amid a broader market selloff.

After years of pushing growth, top executives began to prioritize profitabil­ity in presentati­ons to managers late last year, according to former employees. In one December meeting, Mr. Shah showed how hiring was growing faster than revenue, said one of these people. In past group meetings Mr. Shah primarily spoke about “compoundin­g growth,” said this person. A spokeswoma­n declined to comment on the meetings.

“Since we founded the company in 2002 we have always had periods where we invested very heavily in the business and periods where we have worked to drive greater efficiency,” Mr. Shah wrote in his memo earlier this month. “On reflection, this last period of investment went on too long.”

Both startups and public companies have found investors cooling on companies that don’t generate profits since office-rental giant WeWork’s IPO plans unraveled last year. Mattress seller Casper Sleep Inc. recently had to slash its valuation to go public and its shares are now trading below the IPO price.

Wayfair’s strategy to gain dominance in the online furnishing­s category has been to deliver large, bulky items better than its competitor­s through supply-chain investment­s, said Brian Nagel, an analyst at Oppenheime­r & Co.

The retailer is following a similar playbook to Amazon. com Inc. and has taken advantage of cheap capital to “lose money and build a competitiv­e moat around the business that will help support the business long term,” Mr. Nagel said.

But it is difficult for traditiona­l and online furniture chains to generate profits amid stiff pricing competitio­n and the high costs of shipping bulky furniture. Homegoods chain Pier 1 Imports Inc., which was slow to embrace online sales, filed for bankruptcy protection earlier this month. In January, Walmart Inc. laid off most of the headquarte­rs staff at Hayneedle, an online furniture seller it acquired in 2016, as it works to make its U.S. e-commerce business more profitable.

Wayfair spent $311 million on advertisin­g in the fourth quarter, amounting to about $28 per order. Even excluding all its advertisin­g costs, the company barely broke even in the holiday period, analysts said.

Executives said growth would slow in the current quarter as they pull back on advertisin­g. They predicted revenue rising between 15% to 17% year over year, which would make it the slowest quarterly rate since the company went public.

Some analysts remain unconvince­d that Wayfair can wean itself from spending. “Revenue growth seems more intertwine­d with ad spend, promotions and ongoing investment­s than the market appreciate­s,” Morgan Stanley analyst Simeon Gutman said in a note this week, downgradin­g the company to the equivalent of a sell rating.

“The market is less tolerant of unprofitab­le online retailers.”

Despite the desire of some investors to see Wayfair focus on profits, the company’s leadership can’t afford to become complacent about competitio­n, with both Amazon and Walmart poised to become more aggressive in the home category, said Colin Sebastian, an analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co.

“There’s just a window of opportunit­y for them,” he said. “So why would they try to harvest profits when there’s a lot more at stake over the very long term?”

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