Ministry sees possibility for 2020 export growth

Despite exports falling in February and the stampede of negative factors that have ensued, the Commerce Ministry still sees room for Thai export growth this year.

Pimchanok Vonkorpon, director-general of the Trade Policy and Strategy Office, said Thailand is competent in the food and agricultural industries as well as essential goods, while electronic shipments can recover, which account for 14% of total exports. The weakening baht and massive government interventions around the world for both monetary and fiscal policies can reduce the economic impact of the outbreak and stabilise global trade, she said.

Commerce Minister Jurin Laksanavisit also reiterated the importance of fruit exports in the Asean market. The successful implementation of the Asean Single Window will facilitate and enhance shipments to those countries.

The Commerce Ministry has adjusted its trade promotion strategy for the coronavirus pandemic by organising an online exhibition and online business matching, running from May-August 2020, said Ms Pimchanok.

Yesterday the ministry reported

Thailand’s customs-cleared exports fell 4.47% in February from the same month last year to US$20.6 billion after an unexpected rise of 3.35% year-on-year in January.

The contraction was attributed to lower oil prices and a high base from weapons exports last February, she said.

Excluding gold, oil and weaponry, Thai exports in February 2020 expanded 1.51% year-on-year.

Exports of agricultural and agroindustrial products decreased by 3% to $3.07 billion in February led by rice (-26.6%), fresh, frozen, and processed fruit (-16.2%), cassava products (-11.1%), and sugar (-3.8%).

In February, industrial products dipped by 5.2% in February to $16.8 billion led by weapons, ammunition and components (-100%), jewellery (excluding gold) (-31.5%), oilrelated products (-10.7%), automobiles and parts (-4.7%) and steel and steel products (-10.6%)

In February, imports decreased by 4.3% to $16.7 billion, yielding a trade surplus of $3.89 billion.

For the first two months, exports fetched $40.3 billion, down 0.81% from the same period last year, with a trade surplus worth $2.34 billion.

The office forecasts exports will grow 0-2% this year if shipments average $20.6-21 billion a month.