Bangkok Post

ECB stands firm after shock ruling

Top court criticises crisis bond-buying

- CARSTEN HAUPTMEIER TOM BARFIELD

KARLSRUHE/FRANKFURT: The European Central Bank on Tuesday stood firm after Germany’s top court questioned its massive bond-buying stimulus scheme, vowing to do “everything necessary” to fulfil its mandate of ensuring price stability.

In a shock ruling, Germany’s Constituti­onal Court gave the ECB three months to clarify key elements of its support to the euro zone, but stopped short of overturnin­g its crisis-era “quantitati­ve easing” (QE) bond-buying scheme altogether.

The Deutsche Bundesbank, Germany’s central bank, “will however be barred from participat­ing in QE after the deadline unless the ECB can show its government debt purchases are not disproport­ionate,” judges in Karlsruhe said.

The court also raised an unpreceden­ted challenge to the Court of Justice of the European Union (CJEU), labelling its earlier ruling rubber-stamping the QE scheme “not comprehens­ible” and declaring it not legally binding.

The ECB said it “takes note” of the Karlsruhe judgement, after its 25-member governing council held a telephone conference to discuss its response.

“The Governing Council remains fully committed to doing everything necessary within its mandate to maintain price stability in the euro zone and ensure its monetary policy action filters through to the real economy,’’ it said.

Crucially, presiding judge Andreas Vosskuhle stressed that the ECB’s new €750 billion ($813 billion) “Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme” (PEPP) launched to fight the impact of the coronaviru­s was not directly affected by the ruling.

German Chancellor Angel Merkel said in a meeting with lawmakers from her centre-right CDU party that the Karlsruhe judgement showed the limits of what the ECB can do, a source told AFP.

The ruling turned on the idea of whether the ECB’s bond-buying programme can justifiabl­y be seen as proportion­al when weighed against the risks. By buying up government bonds — so far totalling €2.2 trillion — QE is designed to drive private investors’ cash into riskier investment­s, stoking economic growth and in turn powering inflation towards the ECB’s goal of just below 2%.

“But the policy also has side effects, potentiall­y impacting public debt, personal savings, pension and retirement schemes, real estate prices and the keeping afloat of economical­ly unviable companies,’’ the BVG noted.

The CJEU found that such supposed side effects were admissible in the pursuit of the ECB’s overarchin­g objective, accepting the central bank’s judgement on what interventi­ons are necessary in pursuit of its goal.

By contrast, the German judges argued that the European court’s ruling “allows asset purchases even in cases where the purported monetary policy objective is possibly only invoked to disguise what essentiall­y constitute­s an economic and fiscal policy agenda”, such as lowering borrowing costs for individual euro member states.

Such a legal interpreta­tion would effectivel­y transfer competence­s over economic and fiscal policy from the national to the European level, the judges added.

By ruling in favour of something not permitted without changes to the EU’s founding treaty, the CJEU had made its judgement “ultra vires” or outside the law, they said.

Henrik Enderlein, director of the Delors Institute think-tank in Berlin, said the BVG’s ruling gave the court discretion over a border between permissibl­e “monetary” and forbidden “economic” policy that “can’t be defined”.

Former ECB vice president Vitor Constancio was blunter, calling the distinctio­n between monetary and economic policy “ridiculous”.

Many observers warned that the German court’s insistence on constraint­s to QE could hamper the ECB down the road.

So-called issuer limits and the capital key restrict how much debt from any one government the ECB can buy, with the result that purchases must be in line with states’ shares in the central bank’s capital.

Such restrictio­ns threatened to put the brakes on the ECB’s support to the euro zone economy before the coronaviru­s struck, and were dropped in the design of the crisis-fighting PEPP scheme.

“The Bundesbank should be able to keep the German issuer share below 33% for the foreseeabl­e future ... but that is excluding PEPP holdings,” Pictet Wealth Management economist Frederik Ducrozet said.

“With the coronaviru­s crisis likely to deepen, forcing the ECB to extend PEPP in size and duration, this situation is hardly sustainabl­e.”

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