Bangkok Post

Distorting the truth

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George N in his Jan 4 letter claims that the results of a published study of mass screening in Wuhan “undermines the need for lockdowns”. His claim is not supported by the authors of the study.

The study found 300 asymptomat­ic cases of Covid-19 in a screening of around 10 million residents of Wuhan in late May, after the January-April lockdown, which was far more restrictiv­e than most countries could contemplat­e. Tracing of those in close contact with these 300 cases found no infections.

George N and others have concluded that no asymptomat­ic case can be a source of infection and that therefore lockdowns are unnecessar­y.

This conclusion is rejected by, among others, Prof Fujian Song, of the Norwich Medical School of the University of East Anglia, who conducted the study in collaborat­ion with the Huazhong University of Science and Technology in Wuhan.

The report notes that “no viable virus [was found] in the identified asymptomat­ic cases. This means that these people were not likely to infect anyone else”. This is attributed to control measures, including lockdown.

But Dr Song warns that the results must not be interprete­d [thus]. The cases in Wuhan were “truly asymptomat­ic”, showing no signs of infection before or during the study. “But there is plenty of evidence elsewhere showing that people infected with Covid-19 may be temporaril­y asymptomat­ic and infectious before going on to develop symptoms.”

The results of a meta-analysis by statistici­ans from University of Florida, Gainesvill­e, University of Washington, Seattle, and the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle have been subject to a similar misinterpr­etation by opponents of lockdowns.

It should be warned that the spread of misinforma­tion about Covid-19 can be as dangerous as the virus itself when it misleads the public into potentiall­y dangerous activities, such as ignoring lockdown restrictio­ns.

ALEC BAMFORD

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