Grim warning amid surge
Kingdom could reach 28K cases per day
More than 28,000 people could be infected by Covid-19 per day over the next month if no disease control measures are put in place during the current spike, which is thought to be more severe than the previous two rounds, a senior public health official warned yesterday.
The Centre for Covid-19 Situation Administration (CCSA) reported 967 new Covid-19 cases yesterday, the most ever diagnosed in 24 hours in the kingdom.
Sopon Iamsirithaworn, the deputy director-general of the Department of Disease Control (DDC), said its epidemiology division in collaboration with the International Health Policy Program had come up with a mathematical model to predict the number of people who could become infected per day if safety measures were not observed. In a worst-case scenario with no disease control measures in place, 28,678 people could be infected per day, he said.
However, the average number of daily cases under this scenario would be 9,140, Dr Sopon added, while noting the lowest number could be 1,308 if people do not comply with safety measures.
As of Saturday, for the most recent phase of the outbreak, Bangkok had recorded an accumulated number of 1,114 infections. Of that number, 823 were linked to night entertainment venues in the capital, and the rest detected during proactive mass testing in communities, Dr Sopon said.
According to CCSA data, infections have been linked to 140 pubs in 15 provinces. Bangkok topped the list with 85 nightspots, led by the Krystal Club in Thong Lor, where 211 infections had been detected since the beginning of this month. Chon Buri recorded 11 infections, Prachuap Khiri Khan recorded nine, Pathum Thani seven and Chiang Mai six.
Dr Sopon said most of the kingdom’s new transmissions were linked to pub clusters that have now spread to 70 provinces in the kingdom.
He said entertainment venues in 41 provinces have been ordered to close for two weeks, and nightspots in the other 36 provinces could be ordered to close as well if they were hit by the pandemic.
Operators of pubs in the 36 provinces must follow disease control protocols, including mask-wearing and strict screenings, Dr Sopon said.
“The situation is still worrying because the disease has now spread to several provinces, though the situation is still manageable if all involved join hands,” he said.
Meanwhile, health officials in Chiang Mai yesterday reported hundreds of new Covid-19 infections and said they had been forced to cancel some of the planned celebrations of this week’s Songkran festival.
The provincial public health office said 281 new cases had been detected, bringing the total number of confirmed cases since the beginning of this month to 662.
Yesterday’s figures were not included in the CCSA’s daily updates yesterday and will be reflected in today’s nationwide report.
Chiang Mai’s new caseload yesterday its highest since the outbreak began seven days ago in the province, a favoured destination for Thai and international tourists, particularly over Songkran.
Many tourists had already cancelled their trips there.
Chiang Mai has ordered people travelling from Bangkok, Nonthaburi, Samut Prakan, Pathum Thani and Nakhon Pathom to register through the CM Chana app and observe selfquarantine for 14 days. It also closed all entertainment venues until April 23.
The province yesterday decided to cancel some of the functions planned for Songkran festivities and scaled down others. The alms-offering ceremony planned for tomorrow at Tha Phae Gate was among the events scrapped. “We have to boost confidence for residents in the province and try to curb the spread of the virus,” deputy provincial governor Rattaphol Naradisorn said.
Health authorities have asked people who recently visited 10 places connected to the latest outbreak to get tested for Covid-19.
The venues are Warm Up Cafe Chiang Mai, DC Chiang Mai, Ground Consol’s Garden, Phor Jai bar, Valentine’s karaoke, Tha Chang cafe, Infinity Club, Living Machine, Tawan Daeng and Too Nice Nimman.