Bloodshed feared as junta readies for poll
Free and fair elections remain a pipe dream in Myanmar, writes
Two years after a coup snuffed out Myanmar’s short-lived democratic experiment, the country’s military is planning elections that analysts warn could spark further bloodshed as opposition to junta rule rages on.
Observers also say the planned poll cannot be free and fair under the present circumstances, with one analyst characterising it as a mere “performance” aimed at justifying the junta’s hold on power.
Allegations of voter fraud in the last election in November 2020 — won resoundingly by democracy figurehead Aung San Suu Kyi’s party — were the army’s excuse for seizing power on Feb 1, 2021.
Though the claims were never substantiated, the generals arrested Suu Kyi and other top civilian leaders in a series of pre-dawn raids.
With the political opposition now decimated, and the junta buttressed by tacit backing from close allies Russia and China, the military is expected to hold a new election later this year — no later than August, according to the constitution.
But with resistance raging from the hilly jungles of the borderlands to the
plains of the army’s traditional recruiting grounds, people across swathes of the country will be unlikely to vote — and run the risk of reprisals if they do.
Any junta-held poll will be “like a cart with only one wheel”, a former civil servant in Yangon who has been on strike since the coup told AFP.
“There is no way it will bring any progress,” he said, requesting anonymity for fear of reprisals.
In the jungle near the border with Thailand, Lin Lin, a member of one of the dozens of “People’s Defence Force” groups battling the junta, vowed elections would have no bearing on their mission to oust the military from Myanmar’s politics.
“We will hold on to our weapons until we get our elected government,” he told AFP.
More than a million people have been displaced by violence since the coup, according to the UN, with the military accused of bombing and shelling civilians and committing war crimes as it struggles to crush resistance.
Last week UN human rights chief Volker Turk said the country faced a “catastrophic situation, which sees only deepening human suffering and rights violations on a daily basis”.
The junta-imposed state of emergency is due to expire at the end of January, after which the constitution says the authorities must move to hold fresh elections.
The government of junta supremo Min Aung Hlaing has not set a date, but last week gave all political parties two months to register with its election commission.
Military negotiators are working on a patchwork of constituencies to make a poll credible, including ethnic rebel groups that have stayed out of the postcoup chaos, and regional parties.