Gulf Business

Will healthcare take the lead in 2020s?

What are the biggest trends set to redefine the future of the industry?

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Every year around October, Julius Baer gathers its senior asset management and research experts to discuss long-term economic, financial and social trends. The resulting analysis and conclusion­s are summarised in our annual report titled

Last year’s gathering was particular­ly interestin­g, as we made an attempt to accurately forecast the drivers and leaders of the new decade. What we were leaving behind was a US technology-led bull market, similar, in some respects, to the booming 1990s. Keeping in mind that market leadership change doesn’t happen overnight and is a long-term process, the ultimate question in the room was:

While candidates were plenty, going from AI and cloud computing companies, to themes like the rise of China and sustainabi­lity, strong arguments pointed us in the direction of the biotech sector.

Yves Bonzon, Group CIO, Bank Julius Baer

LIFE SCIENCE DISRUPTION

Even before Covid-19, gene-based therapies were positioned at the intersecti­on of cutting-edge healthcare innovation, big data in medicine and unmet medical needs with high return potential.

As healthcare costs are placing a rising burden on consumers all over the world, digital technologi­es have increasing­ly been adopted across the healthcare industry.

These innovation­s, along with other structural trends, have been pushing life expectancy upward and changing lifestyles in fundamenta­l ways. This has a direct impact on how we manage our money and make investment decisions.

Covid-19 has further accelerate­d the digital disruption­s that we have been observing in the life sciences area.

HEALTHCARE LEADERSHIP AFTER COVID-19

While no one could have foreseen the sudden emergence and rapid spread of a deadly virus, Covid-19 has further accelerate­d the digital disruption­s that we have been observing in the life sciences area. Now we have entered a phase, where, on the one hand the priority remains on finding rapid and effective responses to the challenges the virus poses. On the other hand, the future of the industry – and humanity at large – depends on our collective ability to best understand what the new normal will look like, and come to terms with the challenges and opportunit­ies it brings.

One thing is clear: The pandemic reminded us of the role that healthcare plays in the grand scheme of things – and by extension, that it deserves the attention of investors and a place in their portfolios.

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