Trump weighs bigger role in Yemen war
CLEAR SIGNAL WASHINGTON INTENDS TO MOVE MORE AGGRESSIVELY AGAINST IRAN
Defence Secretary Jim Mattis has asked the White House to lift Obama-era restrictions on US military support for Gulf states engaged in a protracted civil war against Iranian-backed Al Houthi rebels in Yemen, according to senior Trump administration officials.
In a memo this month to national security adviser H.R. McMaster, Mattis said that “limited support” for Yemen operations being conducted by Saudi Arabia and the UAE — including a planned Emirati offensive to retake a key Red Sea port — would help combat a “common threat.”
Approval of the request would mark a significant policy shift. US military activity in Yemen until now has been confined mainly to counterterrorism operations against Al Qaida’s affiliate there. It would also be a clear signal of the administration’s intention to move more aggressively against Iran. The Trump White House, in far stronger terms than its predecessor, has echoed Saudi and Emirati charges that Iran is training, arming and directing Al Houthis in a proxy war to increase its regional clout. The administration is in the midst of a larger review of overall Yemen policy that is not expected to be completed until next month.
But the immediate question, addressed by Mattis’ memo and tentatively slated to come before the principal’s committee of senior national security aides this week, is whether to provide support for a proposed UAE-led operation to push Al Houthis from the port of Hodeida, through which humanitarian aid and rebel supplies pass.
A senior administration official and several others said that Mattis and his advisers have asked for removal of Obama’s prohibitions, which would enable the military to support Emirati operations against Al Houthis with surveillance and intelligence, refuelling, and operational planning assistance, without asking for caseby-case White House approval.
US Defence Secretary Jim Mattis has asked the White House to lift Obama-era restrictions on US military support for Gulf states engaged in a protracted civil war against Iranian-backed Al Houthi rebels in Yemen, according to senior Trump administration officials.
In a memo this month to national security adviser H.R. McMaster, Mattis said that “limited support” for Yemen operations being conducted by Saudi Arabia and the UAE — including a planned UAE offensive to retake a key Red Sea port — would help combat a “common threat.”
Approval of the request would mark a significant policy shift. US military activity in Yemen until now has been confined mainly to counterterrorism operations against Al Qaida’s affiliate there, with limited indirect backing for Gulf state efforts in a two-year-old war that has yielded significant civilian casualties.
It would also be a clear signal of the administration’s intention to move more aggressively against Iran. The Trump White House, in far stronger terms than its predecessor, has echoed Saudi and UAE charges that Iran is training, arming and directing Al Houthis in a proxy war to increase its regional clout.
Action overdue
Some former officials working under the Obama administration believe stepped-up action is overdue. “One of our bedrock interests in the Middle East is freedom of navigation in and around the Arabian Peninsula, and while I understand why no one wanted to get further enmeshed in Al Houthi conflict, we came dangerously close to dropping the ball on protecting our interests toward the end of the administration,” said Andrew Exum, who was a senior Pentagon official.
“We were too hesitant to respond forcefully.” With Trump’s selection of Mattis to lead the Pentagon and other Iran hawks at the White House, Gulf officials see an opportunity to act jointly against their regional rival.
Saudi Major General Ahmad Assiri, a spokesman for the Gulf coalition, said in a phone interview that “at least now we understand that the government of the United States sees the reality on the ground ... and that there is a country in the area that wants to use militias and spoil the situation.”
“Now the US, Saudis and the UAE are back on the same page,” Yousuf Al Otaiba, the UAE ambassador to Washington, said. “We’re getting the support we need.”
The administration is in the midst of a larger review of overall Yemen policy that is not expected to be completed until next month.
But the immediate question, addressed by Mattis’ memo and tentatively slated to come before the principal’s committee of senior national security aides this week, is whether to provide support for a proposed UAE-led operation to push Al Houthis from the port of Hodeida, through which humanitarian aid and rebel supplies pass.
The Pentagon memo does not recommend agreeing to every element of the UAE request. A proposal to provide American Special Operations forces on the ground on the Red Sea coast “was not part of the request [Mattis] is making,” said a senior administration official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss planning and the review.
This official and several others said that Mattis and his advisers have asked for removal of President Barack Obama’s prohibitions, which would enable the military to support UAE operations against Al Houthis with surveillance and intelligence, refuelling, and operational planning assistance, without asking for case-by-case White House approval.
Unlikely to succeed
A similar UAE proposal for help in attacking Hodeida was rejected late last year by the Obama administration, on the grounds that UAE ships and fighter jets, US Special Operations forces and Yemeni government troops were unlikely to succeed in dislodging the entrenched, well-armed rebels and could worsen the humanitarian situation. The effort was seen as sure to escalate a war that the United States and the United Nations have been trying to stop.
Some advisers to President Donald Trump share those same concerns, the senior official said. “There has been no decision yet as to whether [the restrictions] will be lifted. There is certainly broad disagreement across our government.”
While acknowledging that some might see ending the limits as “a green light for direct involvement in a major war ... we can’t judge yet what the [review] results will be,” the official said, adding that the limits could be modified, removed or left in place. Advisers are considering whether direct support for the anti-Al Houthi coalition would take too many resources away from the counterterrorism fight against Al Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula and a nascent Daesh organisation in Yemen, the US priority there.
Without knowing whether Al Houthis will give in or fight back — including with Iraniansupplied missiles — there is also concern among US officials that the offensive would further undermine stalemated efforts to negotiate an end to the war and make an already dire humanitarian situation worse.
Gulf nations see Hodeida as a vital asset for Al Houthis and a lifeline to their backers in Iran.
A plan developed by the US Central Command to assist the operation includes other elements that are not part of Mattis’s request, officials said. While Marine Corps ships have been off the coast of Yemen for about a year, it was not clear what support role they might play.