Gulf News

Oil near five-week high on demand

Futures were steady in New York after rising 3.8% in the previous three sessions

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Oil traded near a five-week high after the Internatio­nal Energy Agency and Opec boosted their forecasts for crude demand.

Futures were steady in New York after rising 3.8 per cent in the previous three sessions. Global demand will climb this year by the most since 2015, the IEA said Wednesday. Opec on Tuesday raised estimates for the amount of crude it will need to supply in 2018 on stronger consumptio­n from Europe and China. US oil output gained last week as operations resumed after Hurricane Harvey.

Oil in New York has fallen about 8 per cent this year as the effort to drain a global glut by the Organisati­on of Petroleum Exporting Countries and partners including Russia is stifled by increasing output from the US to Libya. Opec and its allies are discussing extending supply cuts past the end of March by more than three months, according to people familiar with the matter.

IEA report

The IEA report “was taken as confirmati­on of the prevalent supply-tightening narrative, that oil surplus is slowly disappeari­ng,” said Norbert Ruecker, head of commodity research at Julius Baer Group Ltd. Still, crude is “trading at the upper end of a fundamenta­lly justified price range” and the “upcoming seasonal demand soft patch is set to create near-term headwinds.”

West Texas Intermedia­te for October delivery was unchanged on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 9:58am in London. Total volume traded was about 27 per cent below the 100-day average. Prices rose $1.07 (Dh3.93) to $49.30 on Wednesday, the highest close since August 9.

Brent for November settlement slid 7 cents to $55.09 a barrel. On Wednesday, prices added 89 cents, or 1.6 per cent, to settle at $55.16, the highest since April 17. The global benchmark crude traded at a premium of $5.37 to November WTI.

The IEA increased its estimate for demand growth in 2017 by 100,000 barrels a day to 1.6 million a day, or 1.7 per cent, according to its monthly report. The rebalancin­g of oversuppli­ed world markets is continuing, the agency said.

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