France may be set for a Thatcher revolution
The French no longer see strikers as underdogs, and Macron’s reforms could be the one shot at vital change
When newly anointed President Emmanuel Macron strode boldly into the Louvre after his resounding victory in last year’s French election, it was the European Union’s anthem, Ode to Joy, which rang out behind him. His defeat of Marine Le Pen and her far-right Front National party came at a time of immense precariousness for the EU, still reeling from the shocks of Brexit and Trump. All eyes in Brussels were upon his liberal insurgency.
Since then, he has indeed emerged as the dominant European envoy, building an alliance with United States President Donald Trump and setting out his own vision for European integration. But it is at home, in France, that his legacy will ultimately be defined — and until recently the conventional wisdom has been that he faces an uphill battle.
As a candidate, Macron promised major structural reforms to modernise France’s economy. Yet, despite controlling both the presidency and the National Assembly, his explicit mandate for this is surprisingly weak.
Sure enough, despite an early truce with the unions, strikes and protests have proliferated this year, with thousands of workers and students taking to the streets. Fears abound of a 1968-style uprising. But there are signs that the wind is starting to change.
Having navigated the immense challenge of travelling to and within France during industrial action, I spent a fortnight conducting focus groups across the country. An evolution of attitudes quickly became clear. For the first time, I heard questions about the fairness of les greves (the strikes), citing their inconvenience to fellow citizens and the profound damage they were inflicting on the country’s tourism industry.
What’s more, participants challenged the notion that they should automatically feel compelled to support strikes for working conditions that supersede their own. Why, they asked, must they clamour behind employees luxuriating in some of the most generous wage, pension and leave arrangements known to man? Industrial action was intended to support the voiceless and oppressed, they said, and now too often it has become a means of defending unreasonable conditions and stubbornly resisting change.
Macron’s plans for welfare and economic reform emphasise choice, freedom and the individual to an extent utterly incompatible with the current model. His vision would unshackle businesses from some of the most prescriptive conditions in the developed world — a rupture comparable to the upheaval Margaret Thatcher unleashed in Britain some 30 years ago.
The French are wary of Macron, believing him to be obsessed with his image. Comparisons with the Iron Lady also unsettle, not least because the people have long been told to fear the “Anglo-Saxon model” as a bastion of ruthlessness. Nevertheless, even those in my focus groups who voted for Le Pen appeared hesitant to condemn him with any vigour, arguing it is “too soon” to assess his performance. So too the media treads carefully, landing small blows but holding back from definitive judgement. Declining support for strikes may indicate that British-style individualism is on the rise, or simply the emergence of a more modern interpretation of Gallic solidarity. Either way, it shows that French people no longer see giving in to vocal, aggrieved minorities as the route to a better future for the whole country. ■ Sophie Gaston is the deputy director of Demos, an independent, educational UK-based charity.
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