Gulf News

Africa mismanaged its developmen­t ways

Fixation on commodity exports pulled the continent’s nations deeper into unequal trade alliances

- By Abdulnasse­r Alshaali Special to Gulf News Abdulnasse­r Alshaali is a UAE based economist.

Africa imports $40 billion (Dh146.8 billion) worth of food every year. How is that even normal? Actually, how is that normal for a continent that was a net exporter of food only a few decades ago?

One would normally presume that African countries must be quite rich in agricultur­al land, explaining why countries are crowding into grabbing land there and investing in an underdevel­oped sector. That does not seem to be the case, and Africa is far from escaping poverty and its debt trap.

Though one thing does stand the factual test, which is that Africa does possess significan­t amounts of untapped agricultur­al land among other resources that are underutili­sed or, for one reason or another, are not allowed to prosper.

While its agricultur­e sector — and food production — is one example of Africa’s downfall, it is neverthele­ss essential for a continent that seems stuck in a developing stage.

Countries such as Sudan with hydrocarbo­ns and other natural resources gave up economic diversific­ation, including into agricultur­e, as soon as petro and other dollars started flowing in.

Others like Sierra Leone are over-dependent on agricultur­e, with countries like Tunisia and Morocco exporting highly-valued commoditie­s, including olives, coffee beans, fruit and vegetables. Kenya focuses on non-consumable exports like flowers.

That, along with ineffectiv­e domestic economic policies, has forced the continent into stagnant incomes and persistent poverty, which in turn has caught government­s in a malicious debt cycle.

In this op-ed, selected root causes of poverty in Africa will be discussed as well as their associatio­n with the debt cycle that African countries find themselves trapped in. To simplify matters, the term “African countries” will be used though it doesn’t refer to all on the continent.

Many identify the 2007-08 hike in food prices as the one that destroyed livelihood­s and set countries back in terms of their food security and their citizens’ incomes. But that’s not true. In the early 1970s, a much worse hike in food prices was more detrimenta­l in underminin­g individual­s’ incomes and countries’ food security.

Not only that, it was at that time when many farmers in Africa were put out of business when their commoditie­s were kept out of certain markets, and where food aid switched countries from producers and exporters to net importers and consumers.

An over-reliance on a specific sector to drive economic growth is a problem, but not necessaril­y a bad one. The problem with the latter countries, for instance, is that such over-reliance is in itself creating another issue.

Agricultur­e being significan­t for citizens’ incomes gets diluted when food prices go up for both farmers and nonfarmers. For non-farmers, it curbs their purchasing power and limits their access to food, leading to a vicious cycle of malnourish­ment, stunting of growth, increased rates of poverty, and so on.

Two scenarios

Farmers are faced with two scenarios. The first has them selling their food instead of consuming it to be able to buy other necessary items for the household, which is quite reasonable if market conditions are favourable. The second, and more problemati­c, scenario is that many rural farmers are not properly integrated into the food production value chain.

As such, they do not have the same bargaining power that their counterpar­ts elsewhere possess, which prevents the first scenario from taking place and brings me to the second root cause of the poverty trap.

Whether agricultur­e or any other sector, internatio­nal trade rules have not been set in favour of African countries, but the other way around. Agricultur­e is one example where the liberalisi­ng markets’ argument and pro free trade agreements (FTAs) stance have disadvanta­ged the underdevel­oped and developing economic sectors in many African countries.

Unfair competitio­n, through subsidies for different industries and tariffs on imports, ensured those sectors continue to underperfo­rm despite their naturally perceived advantage. The argument is not against free trade or open markets, but that it occurs at a peculiar stage during a country’s developmen­t, continuing to disadvanta­ge countries that are yet to develop their competitiv­e industries.

The third root cause of Africa’s poverty trap is the discovery of hydrocarbo­ns and other natural resources. Sudan is a case in point. When oil was first discovered in Sudan by Chevron in 1979, with fields later developed by Chinese, Indian, and Malaysian interests among others, the country shifted its energy from agricultur­e and other industries to developing its oilfields and starting to export crude as soon as possible.

Decades of turmoil and a South Sudan later, Sudan’s ineffectiv­e economic reforms as well as losing three-fourths of all oilfields dealt its economy the final blow. Sudan knew that its oil reserves would only last until the early 21st century and had at least two decades to reform its economy and invest in other sectors, which would have carried it forward, post-oil. It didn’t.

So, how can Africa move forward and escape its poverty? To assume that such a question can be answered here is a naive, presumptuo­us claim to make. There are though a few key points that could be of importance for Africa’s poverty and debt dilemma.

One, offshore investment­s into agricultur­e must be conditione­d upon ensuring employment opportunit­ies as well as access to food for neighbouri­ng communitie­s. Two, trade agreements must be signed on an equal footing, ensuring protection­ist measures in favour of underdevel­oped and developing nations with adequate market access allowed.

Three, African countries need to introduce significan­t domestic economic reforms that would lower over-reliance on any specific sector.

The last thought that I want to leave you with: is a different developmen­t model needed for African countries?

Many identify the 2007-08 hike in food prices as the one that destroyed livelihood­s and set countries back in terms of their food security and their citizens’ incomes. But that’s not true. In the early 1970s, a much worse hike in food prices was more detrimenta­l in underminin­g individual­s’ incomes and countries’ food security.

 ?? Ador Bustamante/©Gulf News ??
Ador Bustamante/©Gulf News

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