Libyan ‘super militias’ imperil peace efforts
THEIR GOAL IS TO ASSERT POLITICAL CONTROL, SEIZE TERRITORY AND WREST ECONOMIC SPOILS
The rise of ‘super militias’, which last month triggered the worst spasm of violence in the Libyan capital Tripoli in four years, has exposed the weakness of western efforts to stabilise Libya while creating an opening for Daesh to resurrect itself in North Africa.
Since late August, clashes between rival armed groups have shattered Tripoli. Rockets and heavy artillery have destroyed residential neighbourhoods, forcing thousands of families to flee their homes.
The violence has killed more than 115 and injured hundreds more, pushing the United Nations to declare a state of emergency in the capital.
Another ceasefire was declared on September 26. But few observers expect the violence to vanish while the militias’ long-standing rivalries and economic ambitions persist. Previous ceasefire agreements have repeatedly broken down.
The recent violence is the starkest evidence yet of how the strategy adopted by the United Nations and western powers after the ouster and death of Libyan dictator Muammar Gaddafi during the 2011 Arab Spring revolts has faltered.
That strategy involved installing the Government of National Accord, a UN-endorsed interim authority, in 2016 as a way to bring peace and stability to the country.
From the beginning, that government has been largely reliant on heavily armed militias to exert control, and many Libyans have seen it as an authority imposed on them by outside powers.
Today, those militias are battling for the capital. Many of them have linked up with other armed factions to form larger, more-powerful armed groups that some analysts have dubbed ‘super militias’.
Their goal, analysts say, is to assert political control, seize territory and wrest economic spoils, including a share of one of the continent’s largest reserves of oil and natural gas.
The GNA has been on life support for a considerable period of time. This current episode underscores its powerlessness, and the fact that it depends on these armed groups more than these armed groups depend on it.”
Mary Fitzgerald | Libya researcher
Most significant escalation
“This is the most significant escalation that we’ve seen since the summer of 2014, when you had fighting in Tripoli as well,” said Frederic Wehrey, author of The Burning Shores: Inside the Battle for the New Libya.
“This is a huge blow to the UN action plan and the prospects of an orderly transition from this very flawed Government of National Accord.”
Since the GNA’s establishment, a handful of local militias have grown powerful and wealthy, even as they remain nominally loyal to the government of Prime Minister Fayaz Al Sarraj. Today, they dominate the government through their control of key ministries and elements of the financial system, as well as by overseeing security in the capital.
“They have grown into criminal networks straddling business, politics, and the administration,” Wolfram Lacher of the German Institute for International and Security Affairs wrote in an April research paper.
“The pillaging of state funds — a hallmark of Libya’s political economy — now benefits a narrower group than at any previous point since the 2011 revolution. Actors excluded from this arrangement are building alliances to alter the balance of power in Tripoli by force.”
The recent clashes pitted the Seventh Brigade, an armed force from Tarhouna, 73km south-east of Tripoli, against two powerful pro-government militias: the Tripoli Revolutionary Brigades and the Nawasi. Smaller armed groups in and around the capital have joined both sides.
“The GNA has been on life support for a considerable period of time,” said Mary Fitzgerald, a Libya researcher who has focused on the country’s militias.
“This current episode underscores its powerlessness, and the fact that it depends on these armed groups more than these armed groups depend on it.” Serraj’s words “simply do not have any effect,” she said.
UN envoy’s admission
The United Nations’ top envoy for Libya, Gassan Salame, recently acknowledged the deep-rooted problems Libya faces, telling European foreign ministers at the UN General Assembly meeting in New York that “there is a need to free the government from the control of armed groups.”
Few analysts expect that to happen in the near future. The UN, analysts say, did little to push the militias out of government roles over the past two years. Rather, it relied on the militias to provide security for the capital, ministries, embassies and even UN facilities. It continues to do so. “People were happy with the security the militias provided, despite what they represented,” said Jalel Harchaoui, a Libya scholar at the University of Paris 8.
“Now you have a UN trying to use very frank language, but it is on the same side of some of the militias. Can the UN call itself neutral at this moment? No.”