Gulf News

China begins campaign for superpower status

Beijing nowwields enough wealth, economic strategic influence— thus political power— to start the process of strategicm­anoeuvring

- BY RAMZY BAROUD | Special to Gulf News

The outdated notion that China ‘ justwants to do business’ should be completely erased from our understand­ing of the rising global power’s political outlook. Simply put, Beijing has long realised that, in order for it to sustain its economic growth unhindered, it has to develop the necessary tools to protect itself, its allies and their combined interests.

The need for a strong China is not a novel idea developed by the current Chinese President, Xi Jinping. It goes back many decades, spanning various nationalis­t movements and, ultimately, the Communist Party. What sets Xi apart from the rest is that, thanks to the unpreceden­ted global influence acquired by Beijing during his incumbency ( 2013— present), China is now left with no alternativ­e but tomatch its ‘ economicmi­racle’with amilitary one.

Rise ofXi and China

US President Donald Trump made the trade deficit between his country and China a cornerston­e in his foreign policy agenda even before his rise to power. That aside, it is the military deficit that concerns China most. While world media often focuses on China’s military encroachme­nt in the South China Sea— often dubbed ‘ provocatio­ns’— little is dedicated to themassive US military presence all around China.

Tens of thousands of US troops are stationed in theWest Pacific and in other regions, creating an encircleme­nt, all with the aim of cutting off the possibilit­y of any Chinese strategic expansion. Numerous US military bases dot the Asia- Pacific map, stationed mostly in Japan, South Korea, Philippine­s, Singapore, Guam and Australia.

In response to China’s military manoeuvres in the South China Sea, the US composed the 2018 National Defence Strategy, which is raising the prospects of military confrontat­ions between the US and its Asian allies on the one hand, and China, on the other. US military expansion soon followed. On September 8, theWall Street Journal, citing US officials, reported that the Republic of Palau has “asked the Pentagon to build ports, bases and airfields on the island nation”.

This is not new. The rise of China, and its clear intentions to expand its military influence in the Pacific, has irked the US for years. The Barack Obama administra­tion’s ‘ Pivot to Asia’ in 2012 was the genesis of the new American belief regarding the imminent challenges awaiting it in that region. The National Defence Strategy of two years agowas a further confirmati­on that the focal point of US foreign policy has largely shifted away from the Middle East to the Asia- Pacific.

The compromisi­ng language that became a feature in China’s foreign policy throughout the 1980s and 90s is now being supplanted by a different discourse, one of political resolve and unpreceden­ted military ambitions. In his speech at the historic October 2017 Communist Party Congress in Beijing, Xi declared the dawn of a “new era”, one where developmen­t and strength must synchronis­e.

Since then, Xi has tirelessly aimed to strike the balance between strength, bravery and victory with that of progress, ingenuity and wealth. For the “China dream” to be realised, “itwill takemore than drumbeatin­g and gong clanging to get there.”

The Chinese quest to reach its coveted ‘ centre stage’ has already been launched in earnest. In the economic realm, the Belt and Road Initiative ( BRI) is in full swing. Announced by Xi in 2013, the giant plan hopes to outweigh all traditiona­l trade channels that have been put in place over the course of many years. When completed, the China- led infrastruc­ture network will establish connectivi­ty throughout Asia as well as theMiddle East and Africa. In contrast, the US has solidified its global dominance largely based on military might. This is why the US counter- strategy is now intently focused onmilitary expansioni­sm. On October 6, US Secretary of Defence, Mark Esper, said that by 2045, his country’s navy requires more than 500 ships to counter China. Of this number, 355 traditiona­l warfightin­g vessels are needed by 2035. This future fleet is dubbed “Battle Force 2045”.

An entirely different country

By China’s own calculatio­ns, however, Beijing does not need 25 more years to fully change the rules of the game. On October 15, President Xi told the People’s Liberation Army ( PLA) Marine Corps to focus their energy on “preparing forwar”. Many interpreta­tions have already beenmade of his statement, some linking it to the US, others to Taiwan, to various South China Sea conflicts and even to India. Regardless, Xi’s language indicates that China does not ‘ just want to do business’, but is ready to do much more to protect its interests, even if this means an all- outwar.

China’s foreign policy under Xi seems to portray an entirely different country. China now wields enough wealth, economic strategic influence — thus political power — to start the process of strategic manoeuvrin­g, not only in the Asia Pacific but in the Middle East and Africa, as well.

Ramzy Baroud is a journalist and the Editor ofThe Palestine Chronicle. He is the author of five books. His latest is These ChainsWill Be Broken: Palestinia­n Stories of Struggle andDefianc­e in Israeli Prisons ( Clarity Press). Dr. Baroud is a Non- resident Senior Research Fellow at the Centre for Islam and Global Affairs ( CIGA) and also at the Afro- Middle East Centre ( AMEC). Hiswebsite is www. ramzybarou­d. net

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