presidential race and road to 270

With the three presidential debates complete, and amid a steady stream of allegations about Donald Trump’s treatment of women, his poll numbers are casting doubt on his ability to win some traditionally GOP states.

The Associated Press this week moves Arizona, where recent polls have shown a close race and early vote numbers appear positive for the Democratic nominee, to a toss-up.

The AP also moves Texas and Alaska, where surveys have suggested unexpectedly narrow gaps between Trump and Clinton, to leaning Republican.

Clinton continues to hold a clear lead over Trump nationally, and her current advantage in battleground states would be enough to give her an electoral college victory in November.

Virginia moves to solidly Democratic. Recent polls show a double-digit lead there for the Democratic nominee, whose campaign has pulled resources out of defending the state.

The analysis is of the map as it stands today. It considers preference polling, recent electoral history, demographic trends and campaign priorities such as advertising, travel and on-theground staff.