Khaleej Times

Non-oil sector shines in July

- Staff Report

dubai — Higher output and a rise in inventorie­s in jobs drove the UAE’s non-oil private sector in July, according to the UAE’s monthly Purchasing Managers’ Index released on Thursday by Emirates NBD and IHS Markit.

The headline seasonally-adjusted UAE PMI rose to a threemonth high of 56.0 in July, thanks to a sharper increase in output. A combinatio­n of more projects and favourable economic conditions also boosted activity.

dubai — The UAE’s private sector witnessed increased activity in the month of July 2017 on the back of higher output, rise in inventorie­s and jobs.

However, new export orders declined at sharpest pace in series history. On the price front, firms faced stronger input cost inflation, but were unable to pass these on to consumers amid intense competitiv­e conditions, according to the UAE’s monthly Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) released on Thursday by Emirates NBD and IHS Markit. The survey contains data collected from a monthly survey of business conditions in the UAE non-oil private sector.

The headline seasonally adjusted UAE Purchasing Managers’ Index rose to a three-month high of 56.0 in July from 55.8 in June, indicating a sharp improvemen­t in operating conditions in the non-oil private sector. Notably, the performanc­e of the sector was strong in context to historical data. The overall upturn in the sector was underpinne­d by a sharper increase in output. A combinatio­n of more projects and favourable economic conditions was reported by panellists as having contribute­d to greater business activity.

A sharp rise in new orders was seen in July, despite growth easing slightly from the prior month. According to anecdotal evidence, promotiona­l activities underpinne­d improvemen­ts in client demand.

In contrast to the upward trend seen for total new orders, new export work fell for the second consecutiv­e month in July. The rate of contractio­n was sharp overall, with the respective index falling to a record low.

Reflecting further improvemen­ts in output (and subsequent capacity pressures), firms increased their payroll numbers. The rise in employment was only marginal, however. The ongoing upturn in output encouraged companies to engage in

The survey in July showed that domestic demand remained robust, offsetting weakness in external demand last month

Khatija Haque, Head of Mena Research, Emirates NBD

input buying. As a result, inventorie­s held by firms operating in the UAE rose at a record pace. In part, the increase in stocks of purchases reflected positive expectatio­ns of further improvemen­ts in market demand.

On the price front, average input costs rose for the second consecutiv­e month and inflation was solid overall. According to underlying data, higher cost burdens stemmed from greater purchasing prices and staff costs, with the sharper increase noted in the former. Panellists commented on a general increase in raw materials prices.

Finally, companies expressed optimistic projection­s for output over the coming 12 months. Business confidence was rooted in orders in the pipeline and forecasts of further improvemen­ts in demand conditions.

Khatija Haque, head of Mena Research at Emirates NBD, said: “The survey in July showed that domestic demand remained robust, offsetting weakness in external demand last month. Firms were more optimistic about the coming year, and increased inventorie­s at a record rate, partly in anticipati­on of further order growth.”

— waheedabba­s@khaleejtim­es.com

 ?? File photo ?? A combinatio­n of more projects and favourable economic conditions was reported by panellists as having contribute­d to greater business activity. —
File photo A combinatio­n of more projects and favourable economic conditions was reported by panellists as having contribute­d to greater business activity. —

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