Khaleej Times

BITCOIN, BOOM OR BUBBLE?

- Julie Verhage, Eric Lam and Justina Lee

Bitcoin’s vertiginou­s ascent showed no signs of stopping on Monday, with the cryptocurr­ency soaring to another record high just a few per cent away from $10,000 after gaining more than a fifth in value over the past three days. Central bankers say the success of bitcoin and other cryptocurr­encies is just a bubble.

new york — Bitcoin is showing no signs of slowing down, blowing past $9,500 a week after topping $8,000 and approachin­g its closest ever to five figures.

The price of the largest cryptocurr­ency by market value is soaring as it gains greater mainstream attention despite warnings of a bubble in what not everyone agrees is an asset. From Wall Street executives to venture capitalist­s, observers have been weighing in, with some more sceptical than others. Bitcoin has risen about 45 per cent over the past two weeks. By comparison, it took the S&P 500 Index since February 2014 to achieve a similar increase.

“The weekend’s Bitcoin price hike is just the continuati­on of a long-term bull run on the cryptocurr­ency, fuelled by the tsunami of speculativ­e trading on Japanese exchanges and the entrance of institutio­nal investors across the world,” said Thomas Glucksmann, Hong Kong-based head of marketing at cryptocurr­ency exchange Gatecoin Ltd.

“It is more likely that the $10,000 psychologi­cal stratosphe­re will push more institutio­nal investors into the mix.”

The surge has swept along individual investors. The number of accounts at Coinbase, one of the largest platforms for trading Bitcoin and rival Ethereum, has almost tripled to 13 million in the past year, according to Bespoke Investment Group.

Bitcoin reached an intraday record high of $9,747.49 on Monday, and was at $9,350.33 as of 9.40am in London, up 13 per cent from Friday. The rapid appreciati­on has made it difficult for bullish analysts and investors to keep their prediction­s up to date.

Hedge fund manager Mike Novogratz, who is starting a $500 million fund to invest in cryptocurr­encies, said last week that Bitcoin would end the year at $10,000. A day later, Fundstrat head of research Thomas Lee doubled his price target to $11,500 by the middle of 2018.

In a move toward mainstream investing, CME Group has said it plans to start offering futures contracts for Bitcoin, which could begin trading in December. JPMorgan Chase & Co, the largest US bank, was weighing last week whether to help clients bet on Bitcoin via the proposed futures contracts, according to a person with knowledge of the situation.

Bitcoin’s surge in value is forcing Wall Street banks to balance clients’ interest in speculatin­g on the cryptocurr­ency with executives’ scepticism about its future. JPMorgan Chase & Co CEO Jamie Dimon has been one of Bitcoin’s most prominent detractors, calling it a fraud and deriding buyers as “stupid”, while his finance chief, Marianne Lake, has struck a more measured tone. The firm is “open minded” to the potential uses for digital currencies so long as they are properly regulated, she said last month.

The total market cap of digital currencies now sits north of $300 billion, according to data on Coinmarket­cap.com’s website.

$300B is the current total market cap of digital currencies

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 ?? — Bloomberg ?? Bitcoin is up 45 per cent in the past two weeks. It took the S&P 500 since February 2014 to achieve a similar increase.
— Bloomberg Bitcoin is up 45 per cent in the past two weeks. It took the S&P 500 since February 2014 to achieve a similar increase.

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