Back on growth path
Japan’s economy expanded twice as fast as originally estimated in Q3, thanks to a business spending splurge and buoyant exports, supporting the central bank’s recent signals that it will shift away from crisis-era policy.
tokyo — Japan’s economy grew twice as fast as originally estimated in the third quarter, thanks to a business spending splurge and buoyant exports, supporting the central bank’s recent signals that it will shift away from crisis-era policy.
The world’s third-largest economy grew an annualised 2.5 per cent in July-September, revised data showed on Friday, handily topping forecasts and beating the preliminary reading of a 1.4 per cent expansion.
The better growth numbers were bolstered by a significant upgrade in capital expenditure, driven in part by a surge in tourism following the government’s eased visa requirements this year. They also mark seven straight quarters of expansion, the best uninterrupted run of growth since 1994.
“You can say ‘Abenomics’ is doing well and producing results. Monetary policy is contributing to nominal growth,” said Hiroshi Miyazaki, senior economist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities, referring to Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s aggressive economic stimulus policies introduced since coming to power.
“Revisions to past data show the government’s fiscal spending had a bigger impact than previously thought. The structural reform that has made the most obvious impact is allowing more tourists to visit Japan.” Tokyo’s equity markets took the upward revision in its stride while the yen fell versus the dollar due to optimism about the US jobs report due later on Friday. However, rising corporate earnings and solid growth have more broadly this year underpinned benchmark Nikkei stocks, which have gained 19 per cent in 2017.
Separate data showed real wages rose 0.2 per cent in October marking their first rise since December 2016 in a sign a tight job market may finally be leading to higher salaries, welcome news for policymakers.
The tourism and trade sectors have been big drivers of Japan’s economy this year.
Robust global demand for electronics goods has boosted the country’s high-end tech sector while eased restrictions on visas for tourists from China have also been a major driver of activity.
In October, overseas visitors to Japan jumped 21.5 per cent from the same period a year ago to reached a record high for the month of October. Tourists from China rose 31.1 per cent. —