Khaleej Times

Enough of aid, work on real deal to solve refugee crisis

Internatio­nal community should look at strengthen­ing economies of host states and assisting with reconstruc­tion

- Nasser saidi CORE ISSUE

The human toll from violence in the Middle East and North Africa (Mena) has reached historic proportion­s. Since 2000, an estimated 60 per cent of the world’s conflict-related deaths have been in the Mena region, while violence in Iraq, Libya, Syria and Yemen continues to displace millions of people annually.

For countries hosting refugees from these conflicts, the challenges have been acute. According to a 2016 report by the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund, Mena states bordering high-intensity conflict zones have suffered an average annual GDP decline of 1.9 percentage points in recent years, while inflation has increased by an average of 2.8 percentage points.

Large influxes of refugees put downward pressure on a host country’s wages, exacerbati­ng poverty and increasing social, economic, and political tensions. And yet, most current aid strategies focus on short-term assistance rather than long-term integratio­n. Given the scale and duration of Mena’s refugee crisis, it is clear that a new approach is needed, one that shifts the focus from temporary to semi-permanent solutions.

To accomplish this, three areas of refugee-related support need urgent attention. First, donor countries must do more to strengthen the economies of host states. For example, by buying more exports from host countries or helping to finance health-care and education sectors, donors could improve economic conditions for conflict-neighbouri­ng states and, in the process, create job opportunit­ies for refugees.

For this to pay off, however, host countries will first need to remove restrictio­ns on refugees’ ability to work legally. Allowing displaced people to participat­e in formal labour markets would enable them to earn an income, pay taxes, and eventually become less dependent on handouts as they develop skills that eventually can be used to rebuild their war-ravaged countries.

Employment might seem obvious, but most Mena host countries currently bar refugees from holding jobs in the formal sector (Jordan is one exception, having issued some 87,000 work permits to Syrian refugees since 2016). As a result, many refugees are forced to find work in the informal economy, where they can become vulnerable to exploitati­on and abuse.

By bringing the Internet to refugees, donor states would be supporting programmes like “digital classrooms” and online health-care clinics

But evidence from outside demonstrat­es that when integrated properly, refugees are more of a benefit than a drain on host countries’ labour markets.

A second issue that must be addressed is protecting refugees’ ‘identity,’ both in terms of actual identifica­tion documents and cultural rights. For these reasons, efforts must be made to improve refugees’ digital connectivi­ty, to ensure that they have access to their data and to their communitie­s.

One way to do this would be by using blockchain technology to secure the United Nations’ refugee registrati­on system. This would strengthen the delivery of food aid, enhance refugee mobility, and improve access to online payment services, making it easier for refugees to earn and save money.

Improved access to communicat­ion networks would also help refugees stay connected with family and friends. By bringing the Internet to refugees, donor states would be supporting programmes like “digital classrooms” and online health-care clinics, services that can be difficult to deliver in refugee communitie­s. Displaced women, who are often the most isolated in resettleme­nt situations, would be among the main beneficiar­ies. Finally, when the conflicts end — and they eventually will — the internatio­nal community must be ready to assist with reconstruc­tion. After years of fighting, investment opportunit­ies will emerge in places like Iraq, Syria, and Sudan, and for the displaced people of these countries, rebuilding will boost growth and create jobs. Regional constructi­on strategies could reduce overall costs, increase efficienci­es, and improve economies of scale.

In fact, the building blocks for the Mena region’s postwar period must be put in place now. For example, the establishm­ent of a new Arab Bank for Reconstruc­tion and Developmen­t would ensure that financing is available when the need arises. This financial institutio­n could easily be funded and led by the Gulf Cooperatio­n Council with participat­ion from the European Union, China, Japan, the United States, the Asian Infrastruc­ture Investment Bank, and other internatio­nal developmen­t actors.

With this three-pronged approach, it is possible to manage the worst refugee crisis the world has experience­d in decades. By ensuring access to work, strengthen­ing communicat­ion and digital access, and laying the groundwork for post-war reconstruc­tion, the people of a shattered region can begin planning for a more prosperous future. The alternativ­e — short-term aid that trickles in with no meaningful strategy — will produce only further disappoint­ment. — Project Syndicate Nasser Saidi, former Chief Economist of the Dubai Internatio­nal Financial Center, is former vice-governor

of the Bank of Lebanon

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