Stocks rally to records on US, Europe data; oil spikes
Key global stock indexes scaled new peaks on Wednesday after upbeat US and European earnings pointed to a strong recovery from the coronavirus pandemic, while the dollar dipped to three-week lows as Treasury yields held below recent highs.
US import prices increased more than expected in March, lifted by higher costs for petroleum products and tight supply chains, in the latest data to show inflation is heating up as economies reopen. US Treasury yields ticked up in early trade after tumbling on Tuesday, when US consumer prices data showed that while underlying inflation picked up in March it was not rising wildly as the economy recovered.
Results from Jpmorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs Group suggest high cash reserves and a lack of strong loan demand will not spur inflation, allowing equities to rise further, said Jack Janasiewicz, a portfolio strategist at Natixis Advisors in Boston.
“What’s the corporate use of that money, well it’s loan demand. We’re simply not seeing that,” Janasiewicz said. “If you’re going to be in that inflation camp you want to see people using money and we’re certainly not seeing that right now.” High corporate debt issuance and accommodative government policies will push money into risk assets and lift prices, he said.
Upbeat earnings from software firm SAP and French luxury goods maker LVMH lifted the pan-european Stoxx 600 index, which closed just below a record high set last week.
MSCI’S gauge of stocks across the globe gained 0.34 per cent to hit a new peak, as did the benchmark S&P 500 and Dow industrials on Wall Street. The S&P 500 gained 0.07 per cent and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.58
per cent. The Nasdaq dropped 0.23 per cent.
Led by Hong Kong’s Hang Seng, most Asia-pacific share indexes also climbed. The Nikkei fell 0.4 per cent as rising coronavirus cases raised doubts about Japan’s economic recovery with 100 days to go before Tokyo hosts the Olympics.
Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said in remarks at the Economic Club of Washington it was highly unlikely the US central bank would raise interest rates before the end of 2022.
Later on Wednesday, the Fed will release its Beige Book, a compendium of data and anecdotes gathered by each of the 12 regional Federal Reserve banks on current economic conditions.
Benchmark 10-year notes rose 2.3 basis to yield 1.6465 per cent. A spate of strong auction results this week has
also helped to tame yields.
Eurozone bond yields, which had been rising in line with US Treasury yields on hopes for a strong economic recovery later this year and increased inflation, on Wednesday dropped one to three basis points.
The dollar index fell 0.206 per cent, with the euro up 0.28 per cent to $1.198. The Japanese yen strengthened 0.09 per cent versus the greenback at 108.96 per dollar.
Crude oil prices jumped on revised oil demand forecasts.
US crude recently rose 4.79 per cent to $63.06 per barrel and Brent was at $66.51, up 4.46 per cent on the day.
Spot gold fell 0.3 per cent to $1,739 per ounce, as of 1445GMT. US gold futures were down 0.6 per cent at $1,738. —