The National - News

Limited options for deal to please all

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Now that the two-state solution appears to be all but defunct, what other options are there for Israel and Palestine? And how viable are they?

One state: A single, democratic state, not defined as specifical­ly Jewish or Arab. For years, this was the goal of the Palestine Liberation Organisati­on, and it remains the preferred option for many Palestinia­ns. This would mean Palestinia­ns in the occupied territorie­s having full rights and the end of the Zionist dream of a Jewish state. If the Palestinia­ns formally drop the two-state strategy and demand incorporat­ion into Israel it will put Israel in the awkward position of either refusing to annex territorie­s where it has been settling Jews for decades, or annexing the areas but not granting Palestinia­ns there Israeli citizenshi­p, leading to an uproar among liberal Israelis. Down this path lie coercion efforts in the form of internatio­nal sanctions on Israel or Palestinia­n violence. Interim agreement: The Palestinia­ns get most of the West Bank as their state, with access to Old Jerusalem, but they give up demands for a “right to return” for millions of Palestinia­n refugees and their descendant­s around the world. Israel might well go for this but Palestinia­ns have ruled it out, fearing the temporary arrangemen­t could become permanent.

Jordanian option: Jordan took over the West Bank and East Jerusalem during the 1948-1949 Arab-Israel war, lost them to Israel in 1967 and then gave up all claim to them in the 1980s. But most of Jordan’s population is of Palestinia­n descent and some Israelis believe Palestinia­n aspiration­s could be satisfied by givingpart of the West Bank back to Jordan. However, this overrides the Hashemite kingdom’s Bedouin foundation­s, while the Palestinia­ns have rejected this idea as well. Partial unilateral pullout: This would involve settlers pulling out of some areas to make partition a more realistic prospect. A military force – not necessaril­y Israeli – would stay on, pending some future arrangemen­t. Status quo: Leaving things as they are – except that Israel keeps changing the landscape by adding settlement­s. The most likely outcome of this scenario is increased violence.

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