Uncertainty over EU migration top of mind for UK employers
Britain has ordered a yearlong study of EU migration to help it design a post-Brexit immigration system that is due to come into force just six months after the report is completed.
EU citizens’ freedom to live and work in Britain will end as soon as it leaves the bloc, scheduled for March 2019, but ministers have said they will design a system that allows businesses to hire the workers they need.
However, with Brexit negotiations already under way and the EU hoping to wrap up talks by October 2018, critics said the study should have been commissioned sooner and that uncertainty was already driving EU nationals out of the UK labour market.
The interior minister Amber Rudd asked the migration advisory committee (Mac), a public body that advises the government, to look at how migration affects the labour market and the wider economy, and how the post-Brexit rules need to work to support the country’s plans for an industrial revival.
Concern about the long-term social and economic impact of immigration helped to drive last year’s vote to leave the EU, and the government has a long-standing aim to bring net migration into Britain below 100,000. In 2016, net migration was 248,000.
“The public must have confidence in our ability to control immigration – in terms of type and volume – from within the EU,” Ms Rudd wrote in the Financial Times.
“That is why, once we have left the EU, this government will apply its own immigration rules and requirements that will meet the needs of UK businesses, but also of wider society.”
Ministers have so far said little about the kind of immigration system they want to replace the EU’s freedom of movement rules, leaving companies and workers in limbo and forcing some to make alternative plans
“The government needs to explain why this study wasn’t commissioned a year ago, directly after the referendum,” said the policymaker Ed Davey of the pro-EU Liberal Democrat party, citing lower numbers of EU nurses wanting to work in the health sector.
“Ministers must explain how their negotiations will minimise the damage Brexit will do to our economy and public services.”
A government statement said Ms Rudd would stress in a letter to the Mac that “there will be an implementation period when the UK leaves the EU to ensure there is no ‘cliff edge’ for employers or EU nationals in the UK”.
Ms Rudd said the government would “set out some initial thinking on options for the future immigration system” later this year.
The immigration minister Brandon Lewis said the Mac would make interim reports, and that its work was not the only source the government would use to design its new immigration system.
Companies have already expressed concern that they will not be able to hire the people they need to operate, from skilled financiers to unskilled farm workers. The effect could be to force them to relocate .
The government said the Mac, which is expected to report back in September 2018, will be asked to look at a range of issues: existing patterns of EEA (European Economic Area) migration, including which sectors rely most on EU labour; the economic and social costs and benefits of EU migration to the British economy; the potential impact of a reduction in EU migration and the ways in which both business and the government could adjust to this change; the existing impact of immigration, from both EU and non-EU countries, on the competitiveness of British industry and skills and training; whether there is any evidence that the availability of unskilled labour has led to low UK investment in certain sectors; if there are advantages to focusing migrant labour on high-skilled jobs.
Concern about the longterm social and economic impact of immigration helped to drive last year’s vote to leave the EU