THE DAY OF RECKONING FOR MESSI’S ARGENTINA HAS ARRIVED
Win and the safety of at least a fifth-place finish, and a play-off spot, is in reach, writes
It is a long drop from Quito, the capital of Ecuador, to sea level. Just shy of 3,000 metres, so the air is thin, and shortness of breath becomes a handicap after sustained exertions for those not used to the altitude.
For the talented set of sportsmen who will have made the climb today, the view looking downwards is also very daunting.
Argentina’s footballers, led by Lionel Messi, play in Quito late tonight knowing that they must climb at least one rung in the treacherous, slippery ladder that is the South American qualifying table for next summer’s World Cup finals if the unimaginable is to be avoided.
Right now, after 17 matches, Argentina are only sixth best of the nine nations who have endured a competition half as long as a typical domestic league campaign to filter through four, perhaps five teams to go on to Russia for the sport’s most prestigious tournament.
For Argentina, it has come to down to this: 90 anxious minutes in the Andean attic of their continent to clamber into the top four guaranteed a ticket, or grasp a fifth spot that would send them into next month’s play-off against New Zealand.
Argentina should, of course, have more than enough of the best mountaineering gear for the victory that would move them up, at least, one position in a table where six nations still at risk of elimination are divided by just four points.
Argentina have Messi, and such choice in attack that their manager, Jorge Sampaoli has elected to do without Gonzalo Higuain and, lately, Paulo Dybala.
Yet the cables and winches that ought to make Argentina, twice world champions and World Cup finalists in 2014, their continent’s pace setters look ever more worn and precarious.
Impotence stalks them. They have taken three points from the last possible 12.
The only goal they have scored in the three matches since Sampaoli became the third manager of their mess within a year was an opposition own goal.
“The altitude is an advantage for us Ecuadorians,” the manager of the home team, Jorge Celico, mischievously remarked, insisting Ecuador, whose chances of reaching Russia disappeared last week, would honour their responsibilities to fans and the other five South American hopefuls by striving for a win.
They have recent history with them. Ecuador have beaten a wheezing Argentina 2-0 in Quito in the past two meetings there.
They beat a wretched Argentina by the same scoreline in Buenos Aires earlier in this marathon qualifying group.
A win, at least, would let Argentina grip at the safety rope of the play-off against New Zealand, given the tight mathematics and because the pair of teams immediately above them play one another tonight.
At stake when fifth-placed Peru host fourth-placed Colombia are the World Cup participations of superstars like the Colombians Radamel Falcao and James Rodriguez.
The permutations are several, but both teams know that a win will keep them alive, in Colombia’s case guaranteeing progress to Russia, in Peru’s at least the play-off.
Chile, the South American champions, galvanised by Alexis Sanchez and Arturo Vidal, face their own jeopardy, with victory in Sao Paulo against a relaxed but swaggering Brazil – the group leaders booked their Russia berth back in June, and have 38 points, 10 more than second-placed Uruguay – their only absolute guarantee against elimination.
Chile, like Colombia, are a point ahead of Argentina
and Peru, who both have 25 points. If other results go against them, a draw or worse in Sao Paulo would plunge third-placed Chile out of contention.
Best placed, on a night where all five fixtures across the continent, kicking off simultaneously, carry somebody’s hopes or dreads, are Uruguay.
Only an extravagant goal-fest of an Argentina win, coupled with a defeat for Uruguay at home to eliminated Bolivia and victories for Chile and Colombia could sink Uruguay to the play-off berth.
Even in that unlikely scenario, they would fancy Edinson Cavani and Luis Suarez to take care of New Zealand.
Long shots? Paraguay, a point below Argentina, and hoping against hope that a win against Venezuela, bottom of the pile, in Asuncion might be celebrated at the final whistle by news of a Chile defeat and Argentina’s failure to gain three points in elevated Quito.
Add to that scenario a point each for Peru and Colombia and Argentina would be making their way back down from the Andes crushed, exhausted and ashamed.